Luis Robert Jr.
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $4.1M ($2M–$10M) if his club option is declined · 0.0 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as call-up depth
1 caution
- His $20.0M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
- Injured list 2026: Left hamstring discomfort (Sep 6–Sep 28)
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −1.9 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.12 wins over 358 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026
228 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 68 | .325 | .380 | 22% | 10% | 32% | +0.90 | +2.14 |
| RHP | 160 | .323 | .300 | 24% | 11% | 33% | +0.26 | −0.54 |
- Attack angle
- 10.6° (55% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −5.2°
- Swing length
- 7.7 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 66%
- Pull-air %
- 17.2%
- Hard-hit %
- 40.4%
- Slash · wRC+
- .221/.300/.407 · 97
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down over the middle (+2.8 vs. league per 100; 1.2 standard errors on 43 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and away (−2.5), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 52 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 781 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Robert: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Cam Smith HOU · ’03 | .318 | 1.4 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 61 | Jake Burger TEX · ’96 | .316 | 1.5 | 0.6 | Arb |
| 60 | Willson Contreras BOS · ’92 | .375 | 4.0 | 1.9 | Signed $17.0M |
| 60 | Brett Baty NYM · ’99 | .322 | 1.1 | 1.5 | Arb |
| 59 | Julio Rodríguez SEA · ’00 | .333 | 2.6 | 3.5 | Signed $20.2M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | −2 | −1 | +0.2 | −0.8 | 315 |
| 2026 | CF | +2 | +1 | +0.8 | +1.8 | 1,691 |
| 2025 | CF | +7 | +6 | +0.7 | +6.7 | 3,775 |
| 2024 | CF | +1 | +1 | −1.2 | −0.2 | 3,616 |
| 2023 | CF | +12 | +11 | +0.7 | +11.7 | 5,321 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 2 | 8 | 25% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| ★★★ | 3 | 7 | 43% |
| ★★ | 6 | 7 | 86% |
| ★ | 14 | 14 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | 175 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | CF | 449 | +2.6 |
| 2024 | CF | 416 | +5.4 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $20.0M club option, decided by Baltimore ≈ Nov 1–5. The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 28 | 3 | 14 PA | 14 PA · .462/.500/.692 · 1 HR · 28.6% K · 0.0% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 28 | 5 | 21 PA | 21 PA · .222/.333/.444 · 1 HR · 19.0% K · 14.3% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant