Willson Contreras
- Boston’s roster as it stands starts at 1B · 421 PA · 2.0 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Left hamstring strain (Aug 31–Sep 13)
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: BOS expects to contend (76% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 534 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 144 | .436 | .419 | 19% | 15% | 31% | −0.03 | +2.85 |
| RHP | 390 | .390 | .359 | 27% | 9% | 35% | −0.88 | +1.88 |
- Attack angle
- 11.4° (50% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −7.8°
- Swing length
- 7.9 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 64%
- Pull-air %
- 23.7%
- Hard-hit %
- 44.4%
- Slash · wRC+
- .275/.386/.516 · 151
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and away (+9.7 vs. league per 100; 4.8 standard errors above average on 114 pitches).
Weakest up and in (−1.3), but only 0.6 standard errors from average on 77 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,839 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Contreras: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | Jake Burger TEX · ’96 | .316 | 1.5 | 0.6 | Arb |
| 60 | Luis Robert Jr. BAL · ’97 | .324 | 0.5 | 0.7 | Free agent |
| 54 | Cam Smith HOU · ’03 | .318 | 1.4 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 52 | Royce Lewis MIN · ’99 | .306 | 0.5 | 0.9 | Arb |
| 52 | Coby Mayo BAL · ’01 | .336 | 2.0 | 1.3 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | +1 | 0 | +0.4 | +0.4 | 4,495 |
| 2025 | 1B | +6 | +4 | −2.8 | +1.2 | 4,350 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At 1B in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | 254 | −3.3 |
| 2025 | 1B | 268 | +5.4 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 34 | 2 | 7 PA | 7 PA · .286/.286/.286 · 0 HR · 42.9% K · 0.0% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant