Jake Burger
- Texas’ roster as it stands starts at 1B · 538 PA · 0.6 WAR in the role
- Trade read Likely available: TEX projects to miss the playoffs (25% odds) and he has 2 years of control left: a natural trade candidate.
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −3.2 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.30 wins over 548 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.78 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 620 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 170 | .381 | .364 | 26% | 9% | 29% | −0.03 | +1.87 |
| RHP | 450 | .298 | .297 | 27% | 9% | 38% | −1.04 | 0.00 |
- Attack angle
- 9.6° (60% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −7.9°
- Swing length
- 7.5 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 56%
- Pull-air %
- 20.6%
- Hard-hit %
- 45.5%
- Slash · wRC+
- .228/.302/.421 · 104
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-middle (+4.8 vs. league per 100; 2.5 standard errors on 134 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-away (−1.8), but only 0.9 standard errors from average on 137 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,114 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Burger: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Shea Langeliers ATH · ’97 | .352 | 2.3 | 2.4 | Arb |
| 66 | Samuel Basallo BAL · ’04 | .318 | 0.6 | 0.8 | Signed $1.6M |
| 65 | Austin Riley ATL · ’97 | .296 | 1.0 | 1.3 | Signed $22.0M |
| 64 | Willson Contreras BOS · ’92 | .375 | 4.0 | 1.9 | Signed $17.0M |
| 61 | Luis Robert Jr. BAL · ’97 | .324 | 0.5 | 0.7 | Free agent |
Luis Robert Jr. (similarity 61, 0.7 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | +1 | +1 | +3.4 | +4.4 | 5,593 |
| 2025 | 1B | −1 | −1 | +0.2 | −0.8 | 3,136 |
| 2024 | 1B | −2 | −1 | −1.6 | −2.6 | 2,032 |
| 2024 | 3B | −5 | −4 | −0.5 | −4.5 | 2,112 |
| 2023 | 1B | 0 | 0 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 90 |
| 2023 | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 173 |
| 2023 | 3B | −9 | −6 | −0.6 | −6.6 | 3,730 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At 1B in 2026, the biggest loss came back (−2 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | 341 | −2.0 |
| 2025 | 1B | 180 | +3.5 |
| 2024 | 3B | 182 | −12.2 |
| 2024 | 1B | 120 | −6.0 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AA | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 29 | 3 | 12 PA | 12 PA · .182/.250/.273 · 0 HR · 8.3% K · 8.3% BB |
| 2025AAA | AAA | Round Rock Express | 29 | 9 | 40 PA | 40 PA · .444/.500/.806 · 3 HR · 5.0% K · 10.0% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant