Austin Riley
- Atlanta’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 549 PA · 1.4 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: ATL sits near the seller line (30% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2033.
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −1.9 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.18 wins over 560 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Pulls 21% of his batted balls in the air, top quarter of right-handed hitters. Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 628 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 183 | .307 | .308 | 33% | 9% | 31% | +0.35 | −0.96 |
| RHP | 445 | .282 | .291 | 32% | 7% | 33% | −0.34 | +0.01 |
- Attack angle
- 11.1° (48% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −4.7°
- Swing length
- 7.6 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 54%
- Pull-air %
- 18.4%
- Hard-hit %
- 44.2%
- Slash · wRC+
- .219/.290/.364 · 81
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and away (+1.0 vs. league per 100; 0.5 standard errors on 147 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest up and in (−3.0), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 89 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,284 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Riley: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | Max Muncy ATH · ’02 | .287 | −0.3 | −0.1 | — |
| 67 | Brett Baty NYM · ’99 | .322 | 1.1 | 1.5 | Arb |
| 66 | Owen Caissie MIA · ’02 | .301 | −0.5 | 0.1 | Pre-arb |
| 66 | Cam Smith HOU · ’03 | .318 | 1.4 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 65 | Jake Burger TEX · ’96 | .316 | 1.5 | 0.6 | Arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | +2 | +2 | −0.7 | +1.3 | 5,840 |
| 2025 | 3B | −1 | −1 | −0.4 | −1.4 | 3,767 |
| 2024 | 3B | −3 | −2 | −0.5 | −2.5 | 4,014 |
| 2023 | 3B | 0 | 0 | −1.5 | −1.5 | 6,026 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 454 | +8.1 |
| 2025 | 3B | 275 | −2.5 |
| 2024 | 3B | 324 | −0.1 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant