Players / Player profile
HOU · RF

Cam Smith

Age 23 B/T R/R 6′3″, 224 lb USA MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • Houston’s roster as it stands starts at RF · 524 PA · 1.5 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 24, about $43M of surplus value through 2030): a core piece.
xwOBA .318 wOBA .301
2026 fWAR 1.4
Projected 2027 WAR 1.5 at 533 PA · 1.5 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 568 PA

xwOBA .318 xwOBA: .318, 45th percentile
Swing decisions +0.48 Swing decisions: +0.48, 68th percentile
Contact value +0.04 Contact value: +0.04, 50th percentile
Bat speed 77.9 Bat speed: 77.9, 99th percentile
Squared-up / swing 15% Squared-up / swing: 15%, 3rd percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 63rd percentile
EV90 107.1 EV90: 107.1, 85th percentile
Barrel % 11.2% Barrel %: 11.2%, 74th percentile
Chase % 30.0% Chase %: 30.0%, 49th percentile
Zone contact 80.5% Zone contact: 80.5%, 20th percentile
Strikeout % 25.9% Strikeout %: 25.9%, 22nd percentile
Walk % 7.8% Walk %: 7.8%, 35th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP147.289.31924%8%30%+0.740.00
RHP421.305.31726%8%30%+0.38+0.05
Attack angle
10.0° (48% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.4°
Swing length
7.7 ft
Fast-swing rate
71%
Pull-air %
16.3%
Hard-hit %
43.8%
Slash · wRC+
.210/.279/.390 · 86

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.9+0.4+0.1+4.4−0.5−0.3−2.6−1.3−0.3+1.0−2.4−2.1+2.0+0.3−0.5−1.4−1.0−1.1+1.0−0.6−1.1−1.3+0.8−0.1−1.8RHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+2.0 vs. league per 100; 1.1 standard errors on 168 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and in (−2.6), but only 1.2 standard errors from average on 86 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,141 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Smith: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
67Brett Baty NYM · ’99.3221.11.5Arb
66Austin Riley ATL · ’97.2961.01.3Signed $22.0M
63Luis Robert Jr. BAL · ’97.3240.50.7Free agent
59Jo Adell CLE · ’99.3310.60.7Arb
59Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL · ’97.3661.82.2Club option $17.0M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF +1.4 −6.1
LF −0.6prior −11.1
1B +1.9prior −13.6
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026CF000.00.013
2026RF+7+6−3.2+2.85,420
2025RF+1+1−0.4+0.64,547

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) +2+3Back 0+1Toward 3B line −20Toward 1B line +1+2vs. RHH +1+3vs. LHH 0+3
Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 88.9 mph · 54th
Sprint speed 29.2 ft/s · 93rd
Reaction 0.0 ft · 51st
Burst +0.8 ft · 72nd
Route +0.2 ft · 59th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★42814%
★★★★3743%
★★★111573%
★★293097%
★192190%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF514+1.4
2025RF436+6.8

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.5 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.7 WAR Arbitration $3.0M*
2029 1.8 WAR Arbitration $5.4M*
2030 1.8 WAR Arbitration $8.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 37% 11/30 won · +0.1 runs
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