Players / Player profile
MIN · 1B

Royce Lewis

Age 27 B/T R/R 6′0″, 200 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Minnesota’s roster as it stands on the 40-man, off the 26-man (call-up depth)
  • Injured list 2026: Left knee sprain (Apr 11–Apr 21)
  • Trade read Available at a price: MIN sits near the seller line (27% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2028.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.5 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.22 wins over 495 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.74 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Pulls 25% of his batted balls in the air, top quarter of right-handed hitters. Park Fit →
xwOBA .306 wOBA .302
2026 fWAR 0.5
Projected 2027 WAR 0.9 Keystone Marcel+ at 495 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 508 PA

xwOBA .306 xwOBA: .306, 31st percentile
Swing decisions −0.17 Swing decisions: −0.17, 40th percentile
Contact value +0.19 Contact value: +0.19, 54th percentile
Bat speed 75.1 Bat speed: 75.1, 88th percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 12th percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 58th percentile
EV90 106.0 EV90: 106.0, 75th percentile
Barrel % 10.7% Barrel %: 10.7%, 71st percentile
Chase % 33.4% Chase %: 33.4%, 29th percentile
Zone contact 79.3% Zone contact: 79.3%, 15th percentile
Strikeout % 25.6% Strikeout %: 25.6%, 24th percentile
Walk % 7.3% Walk %: 7.3%, 27th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP145.338.33622%6%35%−0.49+1.23
RHP363.288.29427%8%33%−0.04−0.22
Attack angle
11.4° (73% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−9.9°
Swing length
8.1 ft
Fast-swing rate
50%
Pull-air %
26.0%
Hard-hit %
40.2%
Slash · wRC+
.227/.287/.380 · 85

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−2.0−0.5−3.0−0.5−1.4+1.5+3.6−1.4−2.8−1.0+0.2+0.2+1.2−0.6+0.2−0.9+0.7−0.1−1.0+0.5−0.4−1.4−0.60.0−0.3RHB

Does the most damage up and in (+3.6 vs. league per 100; 1.6 standard errors on 63 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−2.8), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 85 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,794 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Lewis: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
57Byron Buxton MIN · ’93.3432.62.9Signed $15.1M
55CJ Abrams WSH · ’00.3323.72.7Arb
54Austin Riley ATL · ’97.2961.01.3Signed $22.0M
53Max Muncy ATH · ’02.287−0.3−0.1—
53Jake Burger TEX · ’96.3161.50.6Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −0.1 +2.4
2B −0.8 −1.3
1B +3.3 −9.2
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20262B+1+10.0+1.0460
20263B−2−20.0−2.01,310
20261B−3−2+1.9−0.12,971
20253B+1+1+0.8+1.83,548
20242B−100.00.041
20243B+2+1−0.4+0.61,777
2023SS−1−10.0−1.03
20233B+1+1+0.8+1.81,703

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2026 · 1B In (charging) −2Back −1Toward 3B line +1Toward 1B line −2vs. RHH −5vs. LHH +1

At 1B in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 82.9 mph · 45th
Sprint speed 27.7 ft/s · 58th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B95+3.2
20262B54+3.6
20261B171−0.6
20253B224+6.2
20243B128+1.0

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.9 WAR Arbitration $3.7M*
2028 0.7 WAR Arbitration $5.9M*
2029 0.4 WAR Free agent
2030 0.0 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAASt. Paul Saints271567 PA 67 PA · .333/.403/.900 · 10 HR · 19.4% K · 7.5% BB
2025AAAAAASt. Paul Saints26933 PA 33 PA · .129/.152/.161 · 0 HR · 24.2% K · 3.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 38% 3/8 won · −0.2 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.