Players / Player profile
MIN · CF

Byron Buxton

Age 32 B/T R/R 6′1″, 190 lb USA MLB debut 2015
40-man
  • Minnesota’s roster as it stands starts at CF · 453 PA · 3.2 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Right hip impingement (Aug 30–Sep 28)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Full no-trade clause (public reporting): he decides.
xwOBA .343 wOBA .359
2026 fWAR 2.6
Projected 2027 WAR 2.9 at 458 PA · 3.2 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 406 PA

xwOBA .343 xwOBA: .343, 77th percentile
Swing decisions −0.06 Swing decisions: −0.06, 44th percentile
Contact value +1.55 Contact value: +1.55, 87th percentile
Bat speed 74.1 Bat speed: 74.1, 77th percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 15th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 73rd percentile
EV90 106.3 EV90: 106.3, 77th percentile
Barrel % 15.8% Barrel %: 15.8%, 97th percentile
Chase % 34.4% Chase %: 34.4%, 23rd percentile
Zone contact 83.6% Zone contact: 83.6%, 42nd percentile
Strikeout % 24.6% Strikeout %: 24.6%, 29th percentile
Walk % 6.9% Walk %: 6.9%, 22nd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP114.322.35725%7%34%+0.05+2.35
RHP292.373.33724%7%34%−0.10+1.23
Attack angle
14.3° (57% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−8.7°
Swing length
8.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
37%
Pull-air %
24.6%
Hard-hit %
46.7%
Slash · wRC+
.254/.319/.511 · 128

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.3−0.9+0.8−1.3−1.2−0.7+0.3+0.6+5.6+1.3−0.1−0.70.0+1.2−2.70.0−1.3−3.8+6.0−2.5+1.4+1.7+2.7−0.4−0.7RHB

Does the most damage down and away (+6.0 vs. league per 100; 2.7 standard errors on 79 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down over the middle (−3.8), but only 1.8 standard errors from average on 94 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,351 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Buxton: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
57Royce Lewis MIN · ’99.3060.50.9Arb
53Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC · ’02.37510.66.7Signed $10.8M
51CJ Abrams WSH · ’00.3323.72.7Arb
49Kazuma Okamoto TOR · ’96.3283.01.7Signed $17.3M
49Shea Langeliers ATH · ’97.3522.32.4Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF +2.6 +5.1
LF +5.6prior −4.9
RF +5.6prior −4.9
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026CF+3+3−1.3+1.72,640
2025CF+3+2−0.4+1.64,209
2024CF+4+3+1.2+4.23,253

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) 0+2Back 0+1Toward 3B line +3+1Toward 1B line −10vs. RHH +1+2vs. LHH +2+1
Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 85.8 mph · 37th
Sprint speed 29.7 ft/s · 97th
Reaction −1.6 ft · 5th
Burst −0.1 ft · 42nd
Route +0.7 ft · 87th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0100%
★★★★2540%
★★★3475%
★★131493%
★1616100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026CF323+6.3
2025CF472+2.1
2024CF340−6.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.9 WAR Guaranteed $15.1M
2028 2.1 WAR Guaranteed $15.1M
2029 1.3 WAR Free agent
2030 0.6 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 55% 6/11 won · +0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.