Players / Player profile
CHC · CF

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Age 24 B/T L/L 6′0″, 184 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • The Cubs’ roster as it stands starts at CF · 614 PA · 6.9 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Extended in Mar 2026 (6 yr, $115M (2027-32)): clubs rarely move a player they just committed to.
xwOBA .375 wOBA .401
2026 fWAR 10.6
Projected 2027 WAR 6.7 at 628 PA · 6.9 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 718 PA

xwOBA .375 xwOBA: .375, 95th percentile
Swing decisions −0.31 Swing decisions: −0.31, 33rd percentile
Contact value +2.35 Contact value: +2.35, 94th percentile
Bat speed 75.0 Bat speed: 75.0, 87th percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 13th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 70th percentile
EV90 106.5 EV90: 106.5, 80th percentile
Barrel % 13.4% Barrel %: 13.4%, 91st percentile
Chase % 34.2% Chase %: 34.2%, 24th percentile
Zone contact 82.8% Zone contact: 82.8%, 35th percentile
Strikeout % 26.0% Strikeout %: 26.0%, 21st percentile
Walk % 10.6% Walk %: 10.6%, 76th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP230.381.32328%10%30%+0.12+0.76
RHP488.410.40025%11%36%−0.51+3.08
Attack angle
15.7° (51% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.1°
Swing length
7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate
49%
Pull-air %
31.0%
Hard-hit %
48.9%
Slash · wRC+
.280/.372/.570 · 157

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.7+0.5−0.2+0.5+0.1−0.3+0.2+0.5+1.8+2.4+0.6+5.2+6.5+2.4+0.2+1.1+3.8−0.1−0.5−1.0−0.6+2.5+2.4+0.2−1.5LHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+6.5 vs. league per 100; 3.5 standard errors above average on 160 pitches).

Weakest down and in (−0.5), but only 0.2 standard errors from average on 104 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,575 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Crow-Armstrong: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
64Brandon Lowe PIT · ’94.3314.92.5Free agent
59Coby Mayo BAL · ’01.3362.01.3Pre-arb
56Andrés Chaparro WSH · ’99.3421.00.5Pre-arb
53Byron Buxton MIN · ’93.3432.62.9Signed $15.1M
48Willson Contreras BOS · ’92.3754.01.9Signed $17.0M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF +19.2 +21.7
LF +22.2prior +11.7
RF +22.2prior +11.7
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026CF+26+23+3.7+26.75,750
2025CF+24+22+2.5+24.55,616
2024CF+13+12+3.7+15.74,053
2023CF+1+1−0.3+0.7237

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) +3+1Back −1+2Toward 3B line +8+12Toward 1B line +14+11vs. RHH +12+17vs. LHH +12+8
Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 91.5 mph · 79th
Sprint speed 29.5 ft/s · 95th
Reaction +1.8 ft · 90th
Burst +2.6 ft · 99th
Route 0.0 ft · 44th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★81650%
★★★★141782%
★★★121486%
★★313297%
★495098%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026CF633+23.7
2025CF653+6.9
2024CF451+11.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 6.7 WAR Guaranteed $10.8M
2028 6.8 WAR Guaranteed $10.8M
2029 6.8 WAR Guaranteed $10.8M
2030 6.7 WAR Guaranteed $20.8M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 10/20 won · +0.4 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.