Players / Player profile
TOR · 3B

Kazuma Okamoto

Age 30 B/T R/R 6′1″, 220 lb Japan MLB debut 2026
40-man
  • Toronto’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 510 PA · 1.8 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Signed in Jan 2026 (4 yr, $60M (2026-29)): clubs rarely move a player they just committed to.
xwOBA .328 wOBA .338
2026 fWAR 3.0
Projected 2027 WAR 1.7 at 518 PA · 1.8 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 636 PA

xwOBA .328 xwOBA: .328, 58th percentile
Swing decisions +0.99 Swing decisions: +0.99, 88th percentile
Contact value +0.44 Contact value: +0.44, 61st percentile
Bat speed 73.0 Bat speed: 73.0, 64th percentile
Squared-up / swing 19% Squared-up / swing: 19%, 25th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 61st percentile
EV90 106.6 EV90: 106.6, 81st percentile
Barrel % 13.1% Barrel %: 13.1%, 89th percentile
Chase % 27.3% Chase %: 27.3%, 66th percentile
Zone contact 77.9% Zone contact: 77.9%, 9th percentile
Strikeout % 28.8% Strikeout %: 28.8%, 11th percentile
Walk % 9.3% Walk %: 9.3%, 55th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP168.379.37225%11%22%+1.32+1.84
RHP468.324.31230%9%29%+0.87−0.05
Attack angle
15.7° (58% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−4.3°
Swing length
7.9 ft
Fast-swing rate
31%
Pull-air %
25.3%
Hard-hit %
44.1%
Slash · wRC+
.232/.310/.453 · 113

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+1.7+0.1−0.7+1.1−0.4−0.70.0+1.5+0.1−0.9+0.4−4.2+0.3+5.2+0.5−1.3+7.1+1.0−1.6−0.70.0+0.4−0.8+1.6+0.2RHB

Does the most damage down and in (+7.1 vs. league per 100; 3.3 standard errors above average on 87 pitches).

Weakest middle-in (−4.2), but only 2.1 standard errors from average on 125 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,443 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Okamoto: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
66Dalton Rushing LAD · ’01.3361.11.0Pre-arb
65Heriberto Hernández MIA · ’99.3481.71.6Pre-arb
56Jorge Soler LAA · ’92.294−0.6−0.5Free agent
56Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY · ’98.2963.53.2Free agent
54Nolan Gorman STL · ’00.278−0.5−0.1Arb

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (similarity 56, 3.2 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −1.5 +1.0
2B −3.5prior −4.0
1B +3.0 −12.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B00−0.6−0.6416
20263B−2−2−0.6−2.65,234

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2026 · 3B In (charging) +1Back −2Toward 3B line +1Toward 1B line −2vs. RHH −1vs. LHH −1

At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came back (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 81.2 mph · 28th
Sprint speed 26.4 ft/s · 26th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B346+7.7

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.7 WAR Guaranteed $17.3M
2028 1.2 WAR Guaranteed $17.3M
2029 0.6 WAR Guaranteed $17.3M
2030 −0.1 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 29% 2/7 won · −1.8 runs
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