Players / Player profile
STL · 3B

Nolan Gorman

Age 26 B/T L/R 6′0″, 225 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • St. Louis’ roster as it stands on the 40-man, off the 26-man (call-up depth)
  • Trade read Available at a price: STL sits near the seller line (27% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2028.
xwOBA .278 wOBA .259
2026 fWAR −0.5
Projected 2027 WAR −0.1 Keystone Marcel+ at 391 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 301 PA

xwOBA .278 xwOBA: .278, 5th percentile
Swing decisions +0.32 Swing decisions: +0.32, 61st percentile
Contact value −1.49 Contact value: −1.49, 6th percentile
Bat speed 73.4 Bat speed: 73.4, 68th percentile
Squared-up / swing 17% Squared-up / swing: 17%, 7th percentile
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%, 39th percentile
EV90 105.5 EV90: 105.5, 70th percentile
Barrel % 9.9% Barrel %: 9.9%, 68th percentile
Chase % 31.4% Chase %: 31.4%, 38th percentile
Zone contact 73.5% Zone contact: 73.5%, 2nd percentile
Strikeout % 32.6% Strikeout %: 32.6%, 3rd percentile
Walk % 10.3% Walk %: 10.3%, 71st percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP49.219.26431%6%39%−0.17−0.16
RHP252.267.28133%11%30%+0.41−1.81
Attack angle
17.6° (46% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−6.8°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Fast-swing rate
30%
Pull-air %
25.9%
Hard-hit %
42.1%
Slash · wRC+
.184/.272/.308 · 62

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.9+1.1−0.3−1.8+0.7+0.1+0.4−3.3−1.9+1.7−1.0−1.9−1.8+1.9−0.8+0.3−0.6+1.1+0.8−1.1−3.2−3.2−0.3+0.7+1.0LHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+1.9 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 54 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−3.3), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 58 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,131 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Gorman: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
59Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY · ’98.2963.53.2Free agent
56Eugenio Suárez CIN · ’91.3040.41.0Free agent
54Kazuma Okamoto TOR · ’96.3283.01.7Signed $17.3M
53Jorge Soler LAA · ’92.294−0.6−0.5Free agent
53Dalton Rushing LAD · ’01.3361.11.0Pre-arb

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (similarity 59, 3.2 WAR projected for 2027), Eugenio Suárez (similarity 56, 1.0 WAR projected for 2027) are free agents this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −3.7 −1.2
2B −4.8 −5.3
1B +1.7prior −13.8
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B000.00.014
20263B00−0.4−0.42,185
20251B000.00.0174
20252B+100.00.0928
20253B−9−60.0−6.01,783
20242B−6−4+1.4−2.63,632
20233B00+0.2+0.2579
20232B−2−1+1.00.02,536

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2025 · 3B2026 · 3B In (charging) −4−1Back 00Toward 3B line −2+1Toward 1B line −10vs. RHH −60vs. LHH −10
Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 82.5 mph · 40th
Sprint speed 25.0 ft/s · 6th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B143+2.5
20253B144−4.7
20252B106−0.6
20242B366−20.5

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 −0.1 WAR Arbitration $2.7M*
2028 −0.2 WAR Arbitration $2.7M*
2029 −0.4 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAMemphis Redbirds2646201 PA 201 PA · .182/.328/.430 · 13 HR · 36.3% K · 17.4% BB
2025AAAASpringfield Cardinals25313 PA 13 PA · .231/.231/.538 · 1 HR · 30.8% K · 0.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 1/3 won · −0.2 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.