Players / Player profile
SEA · CF

Julio Rodríguez

Age 25 B/T R/R 6′4″, 228 lb Dominican Republic MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Seattle’s roster as it stands starts at CF · 585 PA · 3.7 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Concussion (Jul 3–Jul 18)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 26, control through 2034): the kind of player clubs build around.
xwOBA .333 wOBA .316
2026 fWAR 2.6
Projected 2027 WAR 3.5 at 598 PA · 3.7 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 651 PA

xwOBA .333 xwOBA: .333, 68th percentile
Swing decisions −1.25 Swing decisions: −1.25, 7th percentile
Contact value +1.79 Contact value: +1.79, 89th percentile
Bat speed 76.6 Bat speed: 76.6, 95th percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 18th percentile
Blasts / swing 11% Blasts / swing: 11%, 87th percentile
EV90 107.5 EV90: 107.5, 88th percentile
Barrel % 8.8% Barrel %: 8.8%, 58th percentile
Chase % 38.8% Chase %: 38.8%, 8th percentile
Zone contact 85.2% Zone contact: 85.2%, 53rd percentile
Strikeout % 22.3% Strikeout %: 22.3%, 46th percentile
Walk % 6.6% Walk %: 6.6%, 20th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP205.299.34725%8%38%−0.77+1.98
RHP446.324.32621%6%39%−1.49+1.72
Attack angle
8.2° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−5.6°
Swing length
7.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
61%
Pull-air %
16.3%
Hard-hit %
43.8%
Slash · wRC+
.247/.307/.401 · 104

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.5+1.8+2.9−0.3+0.10.0+0.9+1.8+0.1−3.2−0.8−1.8−1.2−0.6+0.1−1.5−0.2−0.9+1.7−1.70.0+1.5−0.6+1.5−3.5RHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+1.8 vs. league per 100; 0.9 standard errors on 108 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−1.8), but only 0.9 standard errors from average on 107 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,176 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Rodríguez: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
69Jo Adell CLE · ’99.3310.60.7Arb
64Konnor Griffin PIT · ’06.3161.41.7Signed $3.3M
59Luis Robert Jr. BAL · ’97.3240.50.7Free agent
58Amed Rosario NYY · ’95.309−0.20.0Free agent
56Jasson Domínguez NYY · ’03.295−0.20.4—

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF +4.0 +6.5
LF +7.0prior −3.5
RF +7.0prior −3.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026CF−3−3+1.3−1.75,261
2025CF+11+10+0.8+10.85,886
2024CF+8+7+0.8+7.84,560
2023CF+11+10−2.1+7.95,580

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) 0−2Back +1−1Toward 3B line +4+1Toward 1B line +5−1vs. RHH +1−3vs. LHH +10−1

At CF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 91.2 mph · 76th
Sprint speed 28.7 ft/s · 85th
Reaction −1.1 ft · 12th
Burst +0.9 ft · 76th
Route +0.5 ft · 78th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★1264%
★★★★1425%
★★★61060%
★★182090%
★273187%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026CF608−3.6
2025CF655+12.1
2024CF517+13.6

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 3.5 WAR Guaranteed $20.2M
2028 3.5 WAR Guaranteed $20.2M
2029 3.3 WAR Guaranteed $20.2M
2030 3.1 WAR Player option $18.0M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 29% 2/7 won · −0.7 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.