Players / Player profile
DET · SS

Kevin McGonigle

Age 22 B/T L/R 5′9″, 187 lb USA MLB debut 2026
40-man FV 60 · #1 in org
  • Detroit’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 543 PA · 4.7 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Extended in Apr 2026 (8 yr, $150M (2027-34)): clubs rarely move a player they just committed to.
xwOBA .357 wOBA .366
2026 fWAR 5.4
Projected 2027 WAR 4.2 at 554 PA · 4.7 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 707 PA

xwOBA .357 xwOBA: .357, 89th percentile
Swing decisions +1.68 Swing decisions: +1.68, 99th percentile
Contact value +0.55 Contact value: +0.55, 66th percentile
Bat speed 71.2 Bat speed: 71.2, 38th percentile
Squared-up / swing 27% Squared-up / swing: 27%, 83rd percentile
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%, 29th percentile
EV90 102.5 EV90: 102.5, 27th percentile
Barrel % 7.3% Barrel %: 7.3%, 46th percentile
Chase % 19.4% Chase %: 19.4%, 99th percentile
Zone contact 88.9% Zone contact: 88.9%, 80th percentile
Strikeout % 14.1% Strikeout %: 14.1%, 87th percentile
Walk % 13.3% Walk %: 13.3%, 95th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP207.312.30019%11%21%+1.25−0.61
RHP500.388.38012%14%19%+1.85+1.00
Attack angle
15.3° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+1.1°
Swing length
6.9 ft
Fast-swing rate
15%
Pull-air %
19.5%
Hard-hit %
37.7%
Slash · wRC+
.278/.376/.430 · 129

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.3+2.6+1.7+1.7−0.5+0.5−1.6+3.1−2.1+1.1+0.6+0.1−0.3−0.9−2.8+0.5+0.3+1.8−0.5+3.1+1.3−0.9+2.9+0.9+1.2LHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+3.1 vs. league per 100; 1.7 standard errors on 154 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and in (−2.1), but only 1.0 standard errors from average on 93 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,580 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like McGonigle: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
62Alex Bregman CHC · ’94.3285.53.5Signed $35.0M
53Kyle Tucker LAD · ’97.3330.92.6Signed $87.0M
50Will Smith LAD · ’95.3891.72.2Signed $16.0M
49Nick Sogard BOS · ’97.3151.20.9Pre-arb
48Carson Kelly CHC · ’94.3101.61.7Free agent

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS −0.3 +7.2
3B −1.0 +1.5
2B +0.2prior −0.3
1B +7.7prior −7.8
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20263B−2−2+0.6−1.42,694
2026SS−1−1+0.6−0.42,854

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2026 · 3B In (charging) 0Back +2Toward 3B line +1Toward 1B line −5vs. RHH +3vs. LHH −6

At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−5 outs): a coaching target, though he plays SS in 2027.

Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 80.8 mph · 17th
Sprint speed 28.2 ft/s · 73rd
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS262+5.8
20263B233+10.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 4.2 WAR Guaranteed $2.8M
2028 4.7 WAR Guaranteed $8.8M
2029 5.0 WAR Guaranteed $17.8M
2030 5.2 WAR Guaranteed $22.8M

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AALakeland Flying Tigers20620 PA 20 PA · .235/.350/.353 · 0 HR · 5.0% K · 15.0% BB
2025A+A+West Michigan Whitecaps2036171 PA 171 PA · .372/.462/.648 · 7 HR · 11.1% K · 13.5% BB
2025AAAAErie SeaWolves2046206 PA 206 PA · .254/.369/.550 · 12 HR · 12.6% K · 16.0% BB

FanGraphs: FV 60 · ETA 2026 · #5 overall. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 61% 19/31 won · +1.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.