Alex Bregman
- The Cubs’ roster as it stands starts at 1B · 588 PA · 2.6 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Signed in Jan 2026 (5 yr, $175M (2026-30); deferrals lower AAV): clubs rarely move a player they just committed to.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 700 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 177 | .388 | .347 | 12% | 14% | 20% | +0.85 | −0.02 |
| RHP | 523 | .360 | .322 | 15% | 9% | 24% | +0.71 | +0.32 |
- Attack angle
- 14.1° (66% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −5.5°
- Swing length
- 7.0 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 3%
- Pull-air %
- 22.1%
- Hard-hit %
- 37.8%
- Slash · wRC+
- .265/.355/.464 · 128
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-away (+5.2 vs. league per 100; 2.7 standard errors on 138 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-in (−4.3; 2.3 standard errors below average on 145 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,534 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Bregman: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Nick Sogard BOS · ’97 | .315 | 1.2 | 0.9 | Pre-arb |
| 62 | Kevin McGonigle DET · ’04 | .357 | 5.4 | 4.2 | Signed $2.8M |
| 59 | Nick Loftin KC · ’98 | .296 | 1.3 | 0.7 | Pre-arb |
| 58 | Spencer Horwitz PIT · ’97 | .310 | 0.1 | 0.9 | Arb |
| 57 | Victor Caratini MIN · ’93 | .305 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Signed $6.5M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | +9 | +6 | +0.2 | +6.2 | 5,269 |
| 2025 | 3B | +3 | +3 | +0.4 | +3.4 | 4,158 |
| 2024 | 3B | +8 | +6 | +2.1 | +8.1 | 5,206 |
| 2023 | 3B | +2 | +2 | +0.3 | +2.3 | 6,003 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−2 outs): a coaching target, though he plays 1B in 2027.
Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 398 | +8.3 |
| 2025 | 3B | 325 | −12.4 |
| 2024 | 3B | 405 | +9.0 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant