Junior Caminero
- Tampa Bay’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 603 PA · 4.6 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A star (4.5 projected WAR): clubs move players like this only in a full rebuild, usually in his last year of control.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 687 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 185 | .396 | .409 | 14% | 15% | 26% | +0.44 | +3.98 |
| RHP | 502 | .373 | .347 | 20% | 7% | 32% | −0.86 | +2.27 |
- Attack angle
- 8.4° (63% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −6.8°
- Swing length
- 8.7 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 78%
- Pull-air %
- 20.1%
- Hard-hit %
- 49.6%
- Slash · wRC+
- .276/.360/.524 · 142
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up over the middle (+3.9 vs. league per 100; 1.9 standard errors on 116 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and in (−2.1), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 114 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,368 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Caminero: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | Jordan Walker STL · ’02 | .341 | 2.7 | 0.9 | Arb |
| 26 | Yordan Alvarez HOU · ’97 | .442 | 6.8 | 4.0 | Signed $26.8M |
| 26 | Jac Caglianone KC · ’03 | .357 | 2.6 | 1.2 | Pre-arb |
| 17 | Luis Robert Jr. BAL · ’97 | .324 | 0.5 | 0.7 | Free agent |
| 13 | Willson Contreras BOS · ’92 | .375 | 4.0 | 1.9 | Signed $17.0M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | −1 | −1 | 0.0 | −1.0 | 10 |
| 2026 | 3B | −11 | −9 | +1.4 | −7.6 | 5,762 |
| 2025 | 3B | −3 | −2 | +0.5 | −1.5 | 5,254 |
| 2024 | 1B | +1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47 |
| 2024 | 3B | −2 | −1 | +0.2 | −0.8 | 1,336 |
| 2023 | 2B | −1 | −1 | 0.0 | −1.0 | 24 |
| 2023 | SS | +1 | +1 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 66 |
| 2023 | 3B | +1 | +1 | +0.1 | +1.1 | 113 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−4 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 435 | +17.2 |
| 2025 | 3B | 383 | +4.6 |
| 2024 | 3B | 97 | +1.1 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant