Yordan Alvarez
- Houston’s roster as it stands starts at DH · 555 PA · 3.9 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A franchise player: with HOU every season since at least 2022 (MLB debut 2019) and still a 4.0-WAR projection.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 658 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 179 | .356 | .408 | 16% | 6% | 33% | −1.35 | +5.48 |
| RHP | 479 | .462 | .455 | 19% | 14% | 28% | −0.17 | +5.86 |
- Attack angle
- 8.4° (44% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −5.3°
- Swing length
- 7.7 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 57%
- Pull-air %
- 23.9%
- Hard-hit %
- 54.0%
- Slash · wRC+
- .316/.432/.601 · 181
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and in (+9.4 vs. league per 100; 4.4 standard errors above average on 88 pitches).
Weakest up and away (−1.1), but only 0.5 standard errors from average on 115 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,334 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Alvarez: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | Ketel Marte AZ · ’93 | .348 | 2.5 | 3.1 | Signed $12.0M |
| 36 | Pete Alonso BAL · ’94 | .403 | 5.0 | 2.5 | Signed $33.5M |
| 34 | Fernando Tatis Jr. SD · ’99 | .379 | 5.4 | 4.6 | Signed $25.7M |
| 33 | Matt Olson ATL · ’94 | .351 | 4.0 | 2.5 | Signed $22.0M |
| 26 | Junior Caminero TB · ’03 | .364 | 5.3 | 4.5 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | −3 | −3 | −0.6 | −3.6 | 848 |
| 2025 | LF | −1 | −1 | −0.5 | −1.5 | 472 |
| 2024 | LF | −7 | −6 | +0.9 | −5.1 | 1,764 |
| 2023 | LF | −2 | −2 | +0.1 | −1.9 | 1,451 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At LF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0 | 3 | 0% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| ★★★ | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| ★★ | 2 | 4 | 50% |
| ★ | 4 | 5 | 80% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | 70 | −2.9 |
| 2025 | LF | 42 | −0.6 |
| 2024 | LF | 155 | −3.8 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AA | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 28 | 4 | 17 PA | 17 PA · .467/.529/.733 · 0 HR · 17.6% K · 11.8% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant