Fernando Tatis Jr.
- San Diego’s roster as it stands starts at RF · 607 PA · 4.7 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A star (4.6 projected WAR): clubs move players like this only in a full rebuild, usually in his last year of control.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 698 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 160 | .425 | .398 | 18% | 13% | 21% | +1.71 | +2.38 |
| RHP | 538 | .353 | .373 | 19% | 7% | 28% | +0.40 | +2.08 |
- Attack angle
- 7.3° (56% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- +2.2°
- Swing length
- 7.3 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 58%
- Pull-air %
- 9.9%
- Hard-hit %
- 53.9%
- Slash · wRC+
- .289/.358/.470 · 131
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up and in (+3.0 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 76 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and away (−0.4), but only 0.2 standard errors from average on 154 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,307 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Tatis: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | Elly De La Cruz CIN · ’02 | .381 | 6.4 | 5.1 | Arb |
| 45 | Bobby Witt Jr. KC · ’00 | .381 | 7.0 | 6.6 | Signed $19.7M |
| 43 | Pete Alonso BAL · ’94 | .403 | 5.0 | 2.5 | Signed $33.5M |
| 42 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR · ’99 | .331 | 1.0 | 2.4 | Signed $40.2M |
| 42 | Jackson Chourio MIL · ’04 | .343 | 4.6 | 3.9 | Signed $8.3M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2B | +2 | +1 | +0.4 | +1.4 | 1,790 |
| 2026 | RF | +3 | +2 | +0.9 | +2.9 | 3,908 |
| 2025 | RF | +8 | +7 | +2.1 | +9.1 | 5,426 |
| 2024 | RF | −1 | −1 | +2.6 | +1.6 | 3,468 |
| 2023 | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 |
| 2023 | CF | −2 | −2 | +0.1 | −1.9 | 128 |
| 2023 | RF | +10 | +9 | +3.9 | +12.9 | 4,949 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 1 | 15 | 7% |
| ★★★★ | 1 | 2 | 50% |
| ★★★ | 5 | 7 | 71% |
| ★★ | 14 | 16 | 88% |
| ★ | 15 | 16 | 94% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 368 | −0.1 |
| 2026 | 2B | 160 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | RF | 542 | +8.8 |
| 2024 | RF | 336 | −3.5 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant