Players / Player profile
CIN · SS

Elly De La Cruz

Age 24 B/T S/R 6′6″, 200 lb Dominican Republic MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • Cincinnati’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 576 PA · 5.3 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Right hamstring strain (Jun 1–Jun 23)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A star (5.1 projected WAR): clubs move players like this only in a full rebuild, usually in his last year of control.
xwOBA .381 wOBA .391
2026 fWAR 6.4
Projected 2027 WAR 5.1 at 588 PA · 5.3 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 635 PA

xwOBA .381 xwOBA: .381, 98th percentile
Swing decisions −0.32 Swing decisions: −0.32, 32nd percentile
Contact value +2.97 Contact value: +2.97, 98th percentile
Bat speed 76.3 Bat speed: 76.3, 94th percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 48th percentile
Blasts / swing 14% Blasts / swing: 14%, 98th percentile
EV90 110.1 EV90: 110.1, 98th percentile
Barrel % 16.4% Barrel %: 16.4%, 98th percentile
Chase % 25.1% Chase %: 25.1%, 78th percentile
Zone contact 79.7% Zone contact: 79.7%, 17th percentile
Strikeout % 27.6% Strikeout %: 27.6%, 14th percentile
Walk % 11.0% Walk %: 11.0%, 82nd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP187.432.36328%10%24%+0.14+2.34
RHP448.375.38827%12%26%−0.51+3.23
Attack angle
8.4° (51% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+1.0°
Swing length
7.2 ft
Fast-swing rate
56%
Pull-air %
12.2%
Hard-hit %
54.9%
Slash · wRC+
.283/.365/.515 · 139

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.9+1.3−0.1+0.9−0.4+1.6+0.3+0.9−2.7−1.5+0.2+0.8−2.9+3.6+1.0+2.5+1.9+3.1+0.1−0.3+0.3+0.9+0.1−0.3+0.8LHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+3.6 vs. league per 100; 1.6 standard errors on 63 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−2.9), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 111 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,705 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Cruz: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
58Pete Alonso BAL · ’94.4035.02.5Signed $33.5M
57James Wood WSH · ’02.4054.13.2Pre-arb
50Garrett Mitchell MIL · ’98.3563.12.5Arb
47Oneil Cruz PIT · ’98.3523.32.3Arb
46Matt Olson ATL · ’94.3514.02.5Signed $22.0M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS +3.4 +10.9
2B +3.9prior +3.4
3B +3.9prior +3.4
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026SS+7+5−0.5+4.55,031
2025SS−3−2+2.2+0.25,825
2024SS+14+11−2.0+9.05,939
20233B+3+2−0.4+1.61,144
2023SS+1+1−0.9+0.12,588

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at SS)
2025 · SS2026 · SS In (charging) −2+2Back 0−1Toward 3B line +2+9Toward 1B line −3−3vs. RHH −5+6vs. LHH +2+1

At SS in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 92.0 mph · 99th
Sprint speed 28.4 ft/s · 80th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS426−1.9
2025SS5360.0
2024SS546−1.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 5.1 WAR Arbitration $7.8M*
2028 5.2 WAR Arbitration $15.7M*
2029 5.2 WAR Arbitration $30.1M*
2030 5.0 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAALouisville Bats2439 PA 9 PA · .250/.333/.625 · 1 HR · 33.3% K · 11.1% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 44% 7/16 won · −0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.