Colin Rea
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $3.2M ($2M–$8M) if his club option is declined · +0.2 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as call-up depth
1 caution
- His $7.5M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,226 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam42% use | 42% | 93.8 | 13.4 | +8.6 | 95 | 106 | 15% | −0.99 |
| Changeup18% use | 18% | 87.8 | −1.4 | +12.3 | 100 | 99 | 28% | −0.08 |
| Slider11% use | 11% | 86.2 | −0.5 | −3.3 | 99 | 113 | 29% | −0.34 |
| Sweeper9% use | 9% | 82.9 | 1.9 | −15.3 | 106 | 100 | 29% | +1.92 |
| Sinker8% use | 8% | 92.5 | 9.0 | +13.6 | 82 | 82 | 6% | −3.95 |
| Cutter6% use | 6% | 87.3 | 6.3 | −4.2 | 96 | 86 | 19% | −1.79 |
| Curveball6% use | 6% | 80.1 | −7.6 | −10.4 | 98 | 96 | 15% | −2.68 |
Four-seam grades 95 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 106. The best case is against righties: the sweeper is worth +1.1 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.4 standard errors (186 and 334 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Sinker grades 82 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 106. The best case is against righties: the sweeper is worth +1.3 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.7 standard errors (186 and 152 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Rea: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | Stephen Kolek KC · ’97 | 90 | 0.5 | 1.0 | Pre-arb |
| 60 | Max Scherzer TOR · ’84 | 97 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Free agent |
| 56 | Troy Melton DET · ’00 | 101 | 1.6 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 55 | Zebby Matthews MIN · ’00 | 92 | 0.7 | 1.1 | — |
| 52 | Carmen Mlodzinski PIT · ’99 | 94 | 1.6 | 1.3 | Arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $7.5M club option, decided by the Cubs ≈ Nov 1–5. The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →