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MIN · P

Zebby Matthews

Age 26 B/T R/R 6′5″, 225 lb USA MLB debut 2024
40-man
  • Minnesota’s roster as it stands bullpen · 86 IP · 0.7 WAR in the role
Keystone Stuff 92 16th pct
2026 fWAR 0.7
Projected 2027 WAR 1.1 at 143 IP · 0.7 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,117 pitches

Keystone Stuff 92 Keystone Stuff: 92, 16th percentile
Keystone Location 107 Keystone Location: 107, 82nd percentile
Keystone Pitching 94 Keystone Pitching: 94, 29th percentile
Run value (xRV) −0.24 Run value (xRV): −0.24, 31st percentile
Strikeout % 21.3% Strikeout %: 21.3%, 41st percentile
Walk % 7.2% Walk %: 7.2%, 75th percentile
Whiff % 22.6% Whiff %: 22.6%, 27th percentile
Chase % 28.1% Chase %: 28.1%, 26th percentile
Fastball velo 95.2 Fastball velo: 95.2, 61st percentile
Extension 6.4 ft Extension: 6.4 ft, 44th percentile
130.1 IP4.90 ERA4.70 FIP 37° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSLCHFCCUSI
RHP · arm angle 37° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam36% use36%95.216.1+8.89510715%−0.43
Slider23% use23%87.33.0−3.59911134%+1.45
Changeup13% use13%86.74.4+14.68910220%−1.68
Cutter12% use12%90.99.7−0.39110415%−1.58
Curveball11% use11%79.8−8.9−8.5888834%+0.95
Sinker5% use5%95.211.2+15.5969221%−2.34

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Matthews: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
75Max Scherzer TOR · ’84970.30.1Free agent
69Mike Burrows HOU · ’9990−0.40.5Pre-arb
68Keider Montero DET · ’00922.51.7Pre-arb
66Stephen Kolek KC · ’97900.51.0Pre-arb
63Peter Lambert HOU · ’97902.41.6Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 36%
55% zone
Changeup 21%
35% zone
Slider 17%
43% zone
Cutter 13%
53% zone
Curveball 12%
29% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.1 WAR —
2028 1.1 WAR —
2029 1.1 WAR —
2030 1.0 WAR —

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAASt. Paul Saints26734.1 IP 34.1 IP · 4.72 ERA · 21.9% K · 7.3% BB
2025AAAAAASt. Paul Saints25836.2 IP 36.2 IP · 1.72 ERA · 31.8% K · 6.1% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.