DET · P

Troy Melton

Age 25 B/T R/R 6′4″, 210 lb USA MLB debut 2025

40-man

Detroit’s roster as it stands #2 starter · 121 IP · 1.3 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: (Sep 21–Sep 28)
Trade read Available at a price: DET 52% playoff odds; control through 2031.

Keystone Stuff 101 54th pct

2026 fWAR 1.6

Projected 2027 WAR 1.5 at 132 IP · 1.3 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,773 pitches

Keystone Stuff 101

Keystone Location 97

Keystone Pitching 98

Run value (xRV) +0.18

Strikeout % 20.0%

Walk % 7.9%

Whiff % 23.4%

Chase % 31.6%

Fastball velo 96.2

Extension 6.8 ft

114.1 IP2.76 ERA4.09 FIP 39° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 39° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam33% use	33%	96.4	15.2	+6.6	101	98	17%	−0.81
Cutter22% use	22%	92.2	7.4	−4.0	100	97	20%	+1.54
Slider17% use	17%	86.9	−0.2	−6.6	105	108	32%	+0.12
Changeup11% use	11%	89.3	1.5	+10.6	103	93	30%	−0.28
Sinker9% use	9%	95.7	10.0	+14.5	98	86	21%	+0.46
Curveball8% use	8%	79.5	−8.9	−16.1	95	98	32%	+0.98

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Melton: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
69	Jack Leiter TEX · ’00	103	0.5	1.2	Pre-arb
63	Ben Brown CHC · ’99	100	2.0	1.9	Arb
58	George Kirby SEA · ’98	101	2.5	2.6	Arb
56	Colin Rea CHC · ’90	96	0.4	0.4	Free agent
56	Jack Perkins ATH · ’99	103	0.8	0.7	Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 36%

44% zone

Cutter 21%

56% zone

Slider 15%

39% zone

Changeup 15%

23% zone

Curveball 10%

44% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.5 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 1.5 WAR Pre-arb $803K*

2029 1.5 WAR Arbitration $3.1M*

2030 1.5 WAR Arbitration $5.6M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026A	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	3	9.2 IP	9.2 IP · 1.86 ERA · 38.2% K · 0.0% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	25	1	2 IP	2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 27.3% K · 18.2% BB
2025AA	AA	Erie SeaWolves	24	10	39 IP	39 IP · 3.23 ERA · 27.4% K · 6.7% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	24	8	36.1 IP	36.1 IP · 2.72 ERA · 37.8% K · 6.1% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 100% 1/1 won · 0.0 runs