Chandler Simpson
- Tampa Bay’s roster as it stands starts at LF · 540 PA · 1.8 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: TB 36% playoff odds; control through 2031.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 612 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 212 | .309 | .238 | 10% | 1% | 39% | −1.40 | −2.01 |
| RHP | 400 | .335 | .284 | 7% | 6% | 28% | −0.18 | −2.45 |
- Attack angle
- 3.0° (37% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- +4.6°
- Swing length
- 6.6 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 0%
- Pull-air %
- 6.9%
- Hard-hit %
- 13.5%
- Slash · wRC+
- .306/.333/.355 · 93
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and away (+2.1 vs. league per 100; 1.0 standard errors on 89 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest up and in (−2.9), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 65 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,792 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Simpson: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | Luis Arraez PHI · ’97 | .311 | 4.1 | 1.6 | Free agent |
| 22 | Nico Hoerner CHC · ’97 | .326 | 2.8 | 2.9 | Signed $23.8M |
| 21 | Jacob Wilson ATH · ’02 | .285 | 1.5 | 2.0 | Signed $2.9M |
| 16 | Nicky Lopez TEX · ’95 | .281 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Free agent |
| 13 | Nathan Lukes TOR · ’94 | .299 | 2.2 | 1.6 | Arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | 0 | 0 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 68 |
| 2026 | LF | +8 | +8 | −4.4 | +3.6 | 5,199 |
| 2025 | RF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 |
| 2025 | LF | −1 | −1 | −0.5 | −1.5 | 1,711 |
| 2025 | CF | −4 | −3 | −0.5 | −3.5 | 1,919 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 6 | 21 | 29% |
| ★★★★ | 4 | 7 | 57% |
| ★★★ | 17 | 23 | 74% |
| ★★ | 28 | 33 | 85% |
| ★ | 27 | 29 | 93% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | 554 | +13.3 |
| 2025 | LF | 146 | −0.1 |
| 2025 | CF | 212 | −10.5 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Durham Bulls | 24 | 33 | 156 PA | 156 PA · .333/.370/.396 · 0 HR · 9.6% K · 5.8% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant