Players / Player profile
TB · C

Liam Hicks

Age 27 B/T L/R 5′9″, 185 lb Canada MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • Tampa Bay’s roster as it stands starts at C · 487 PA · 3.2 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Low back strain (Jun 21–Jun 30)
  • Trade read Available at a price: TB 36% playoff odds; control through 2030.
xwOBA .319 wOBA .361
2026 fWAR 3.0
Projected 2027 WAR 2.0 at 516 PA · 3.2 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 551 PA

xwOBA .319 xwOBA: .319, 49th percentile
Swing decisions −0.21 Swing decisions: −0.21, 38th percentile
Contact value −0.10 Contact value: −0.10, 42nd percentile
Bat speed 68.3 Bat speed: 68.3, 8th percentile
Squared-up / swing 30% Squared-up / swing: 30%, 93rd percentile
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%, 24th percentile
EV90 101.0 EV90: 101.0, 12th percentile
Barrel % 3.7% Barrel %: 3.7%, 14th percentile
Chase % 26.6% Chase %: 26.6%, 70th percentile
Zone contact 97.3% Zone contact: 97.3%, 100th percentile
Strikeout % 10.0% Strikeout %: 10.0%, 97th percentile
Walk % 9.4% Walk %: 9.4%, 59th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP119.240.24514%8%32%−1.02−1.71
RHP432.394.3399%10%25%−0.01+0.27
Attack angle
7.5° (49% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−6.3°
Swing length
6.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
4%
Pull-air %
21.1%
Hard-hit %
27.2%
Slash · wRC+
.284/.367/.434 · 123

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.9−1.1−1.2−1.1+0.2+2.4−2.7+0.9−1.7+1.0+0.6−1.3+1.5+2.3−0.2−0.2+1.60.0+3.3+1.6+0.9+0.3+0.4+1.3−0.7LHB

Does the most damage down and in (+3.3 vs. league per 100; 1.5 standard errors on 74 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−2.7), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 109 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,845 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Hicks: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
63Nolan Schanuel LAA · ’02.3351.71.4Arb
56Sal Frelick MIL · ’00.291−0.51.2Arb
54Nick Loftin KC · ’98.2961.30.7Pre-arb
48Myles Straw TOR · ’94.2970.71.0Club option $8.0M
48Spencer Horwitz PIT · ’97.3100.10.9Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
C +3.5 +16.0
1B −0.6 −13.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B+2+1−0.4+0.6807
20251B+10+0.5+0.5868

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) +1+1Back 00Toward 3B line −10Toward 1B line 0+1vs. RHH 00vs. LHH +1+2
Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 25.7 ft/s · 13th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20261B54−2.2
20251B51−2.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.0 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.8 WAR Arbitration $4.0M*
2029 1.4 WAR Arbitration $6.4M*
2030 1.0 WAR Arbitration $9.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 54% 7/13 won · +0.5 runs
As catcher 56% 49/87 won · +1.6 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.