Players / Player profile
MIL · RF

Sal Frelick

Age 26 B/T L/R 5′9″, 191 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • Milwaukee’s roster as it stands starts at RF · 447 PA · 1.3 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Right shoulder strain (Jul 18–Aug 25)
  • Trade read Available at a price: MIL 81% playoff odds; control through 2029.
xwOBA .291 wOBA .298
2026 fWAR −0.5
Projected 2027 WAR 1.2 at 451 PA · 1.3 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 380 PA

xwOBA .291 xwOBA: .291, 14th percentile
Swing decisions +0.30 Swing decisions: +0.30, 60th percentile
Contact value −1.63 Contact value: −1.63, 5th percentile
Bat speed 68.1 Bat speed: 68.1, 7th percentile
Squared-up / swing 32% Squared-up / swing: 32%, 97th percentile
Blasts / swing 5% Blasts / swing: 5%, 16th percentile
EV90 101.1 EV90: 101.1, 13th percentile
Barrel % 2.3% Barrel %: 2.3%, 5th percentile
Chase % 24.6% Chase %: 24.6%, 81st percentile
Zone contact 94.3% Zone contact: 94.3%, 99th percentile
Strikeout % 10.0% Strikeout %: 10.0%, 97th percentile
Walk % 7.9% Walk %: 7.9%, 36th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP98.266.31010%6%22%−0.06−0.41
RHP282.309.28510%9%25%+0.42−2.04
Attack angle
5.5° (46% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+0.8°
Swing length
7.1 ft
Fast-swing rate
3%
Pull-air %
11.8%
Hard-hit %
27.1%
Slash · wRC+
.230/.295/.319 · 72

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.5−0.1−0.6−1.2−0.6+1.6+2.0−0.9−0.4−2.1+0.10.0−5.5−2.8−2.3−0.6−0.2−1.0+1.9+0.5+1.2−0.6+1.4+1.8+0.6LHB

Does the most damage up and away (+2.0 vs. league per 100; 0.9 standard errors on 67 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−5.5; 2.7 standard errors below average on 108 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,341 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Frelick: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
68Myles Straw TOR · ’94.2970.71.0Club option $8.0M
57Nolan Schanuel LAA · ’02.3351.71.4Arb
56Liam Hicks TB · ’99.3193.02.0Pre-arb
54Nico Hoerner CHC · ’97.3262.82.9Signed $23.8M
52Sam Antonacci CWS · ’03.3472.32.0Pre-arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF +3.1 −4.4
CF −6.4 −6.9
LF −0.4 −10.9
1B +3.0prior −12.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF00−0.1−0.190
2026RF+1+1−2.9−1.93,354
20253B000.00.05
2025CF00+0.1+0.1301
2025RF+7+6+1.1+7.14,694
20243B000.00.018
2024CF+2+2+0.1+2.1710
2024LF−2−2+0.1−1.9774
2024RF+6+5+0.5+5.53,258
2023LF000.00.018
2023CF+2+1+0.1+1.1777
2023RF+5+4+0.1+4.11,025

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) +30Back +1+1Toward 3B line +2+1Toward 1B line +10vs. RHH +5+1vs. LHH +2+1
Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 83.7 mph · 9th
Sprint speed 28.8 ft/s · 87th
Reaction −0.3 ft · 39th
Burst +0.3 ft · 58th
Route −0.6 ft · 20th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0130%
★★★★21118%
★★★81267%
★★101191%
★2525100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF323+7.0
2025RF480+6.5
2024RF313+11.6
2024LF65−4.7
2024CF84+0.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.2 WAR Arbitration $2.2M*
2028 1.1 WAR Arbitration $4.3M*
2029 0.9 WAR Arbitration $8.1M*
2030 0.7 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAANashville Sounds261044 PA 44 PA · .278/.395/.556 · 2 HR · 13.6% K · 11.4% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 29% 2/7 won · −0.8 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.