BAL · LF

Dylan Beavers

Age 25 B/T L/R 6′5″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2025

40-man FV 50 · #2 in org

Baltimore’s roster as it stands starts at LF · 393 PA · 0.7 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: Right oblique strain (May 13–Jun 28)
Trade read Available at a price: BAL 23% playoff odds; control through 2031.

xwOBA .296 wOBA .310

2026 fWAR −0.2

Projected 2027 WAR 0.5 at 395 PA · 0.7 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 363 PA

xwOBA .296

Swing decisions +0.38

Contact value −0.94

Bat speed 72.4

Squared-up / swing 20%

Blasts / swing 8%

EV90 103.3

Barrel % 8.4%

Chase % 23.8%

Zone contact 83.2%

Strikeout % 27.3%

Walk % 9.4%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	71	.248	.215	28%	7%	22%	+0.35	−3.37
RHP	292	.325	.315	27%	10%	24%	+0.38	−0.41

Attack angle: 9.5° (47% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: −3.4°
Swing length: 7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate: 19%
Pull-air %: 22.5%
Hard-hit %: 38.5%
Slash · wRC+: .228/.307/.373 · 94

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage up and in (+1.3 vs. league per 100; 0.5 standard errors on 45 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−4.2), but only 2.1 standard errors from average on 109 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,387 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Beavers: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
64	Mike Yastrzemski ATL · ’90	.309	0.6	0.4	Signed $10.0M
62	Ryan Waldschmidt AZ · ’02	.302	1.1	1.3	Pre-arb
60	Lane Thomas ATL · ’95	.312	0.7	0.2	Free agent
59	Tyler Stephenson CIN · ’96	.330	1.3	1.5	Free agent
59	Brandon Valenzuela TOR · ’00	.314	2.1	2.0	Pre-arb

Tyler Stephenson (similarity 59, 1.5 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth

LF −3.7 −11.2

RF −7.4 −14.9

1B −3.2prior −18.7

Outs Above Average by position

Season	Pos	OAA	Range	Arm, DP	Runs	Batters
2026	CF	−1	−1	0.0	−1.0	158
2026	RF	−3	−3	−0.1	−3.1	1,041
2026	LF	−5	−4	−0.2	−4.2	1,654
2025	RF	0	0	−0.2	−0.2	519
2025	LF	0	0	−0.3	−0.3	750

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at LF)

2025 · LF2026 · LF In (charging) −2−3Back 0+1Toward 3B line +1−3Toward 1B line 0−3vs. RHH +1−4vs. LHH −1−5

At LF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)

Arm at LF 86.7 mph · 55th

Sprint speed 29.1 ft/s · 92nd

Reaction −0.8 ft · 23rd

Burst −0.7 ft · 26th

Route −0.6 ft · 20th

Catch difficulty (latest season)

Play	Made	Chances	Rate
★★★★★	0	10	0%
★★★★	0	6	0%
★★★	5	15	33%
★★	9	13	69%
★	18	18	100%

Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)

Season	Zone	Balls	Outs vs. exp.
2026	RF	109	−2.3
2026	LF	173	−2.4
2025	LF	73	+0.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.5 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 0.6 WAR Pre-arb $803K*

2029 0.6 WAR Arbitration $2.0M*

2030 0.5 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AA	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	24	3	13 PA	13 PA · .000/.308/.000 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 30.8% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Norfolk Tides	24	3	12 PA	12 PA · .091/.167/.091 · 0 HR · 16.7% K · 8.3% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Norfolk Tides	23	94	418 PA	418 PA · .304/.420/.515 · 18 HR · 18.2% K · 16.3% BB

FanGraphs: FV 50 · ETA 2026 · #42 overall. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 20% 2/10 won · −1.1 runs