Tyler Stephenson
- Free agent est. 2 yr × $11.4M ($4M–$22M) · +0.6 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as a bench bat
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −1.6 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.13 wins over 468 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 468 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 116 | .313 | .315 | 23% | 17% | 19% | +2.24 | −2.58 |
| RHP | 352 | .334 | .335 | 29% | 8% | 23% | +0.91 | +0.88 |
- Attack angle
- 12.7° (54% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- +0.1°
- Swing length
- 7.4 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 7%
- Pull-air %
- 18.8%
- Hard-hit %
- 44.9%
- Slash · wRC+
- .241/.323/.404 · 99
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down over the middle (+2.8 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 125 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and in (−2.6), but only 1.2 standard errors from average on 85 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,761 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Stephenson: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | Spencer Steer CIN · ’97 | .348 | 1.0 | 0.9 | Arb |
| 59 | Dylan Beavers BAL · ’01 | .296 | −0.2 | 0.5 | Pre-arb |
| 59 | Justin Foscue TEX · ’99 | .325 | 1.7 | 1.0 | Pre-arb |
| 57 | Mike Yastrzemski ATL · ’90 | .309 | 0.6 | 0.4 | Signed $10.0M |
| 55 | Hunter Feduccia LAD · ’97 | .315 | 0.5 | 0.1 | — |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1B | 0 | 0 | +0.3 | +0.3 | 170 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).
Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Too few balls in his zone. | |||
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Louisville Bats | 28 | 10 | 40 PA | 40 PA · .152/.300/.364 · 2 HR · 22.5% K · 15.0% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant