Players / Player profile
CIN · 1B

Spencer Steer

Age 28 B/T R/R 5′9″, 185 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Cincinnati’s roster as it stands starts at 1B · 444 PA · 1.0 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Right wrist sprain (since Jul 27)
  • Trade read Likely available: CIN projects to miss the playoffs (16% odds) and he has 2 years of control left: a natural trade candidate.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.9 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.22 wins over 449 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.74 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Pulls 23% of his batted balls in the air, top quarter of right-handed hitters. Park Fit →
xwOBA .348 wOBA .344
2026 fWAR 1.0
Projected 2027 WAR 0.9 at 449 PA · 1.0 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 383 PA

xwOBA .348 xwOBA: .348, 83rd percentile
Swing decisions +0.66 Swing decisions: +0.66, 76th percentile
Contact value +0.70 Contact value: +0.70, 70th percentile
Bat speed 71.2 Bat speed: 71.2, 37th percentile
Squared-up / swing 24% Squared-up / swing: 24%, 61st percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 52nd percentile
EV90 102.6 EV90: 102.6, 30th percentile
Barrel % 12.5% Barrel %: 12.5%, 84th percentile
Chase % 26.2% Chase %: 26.2%, 72nd percentile
Zone contact 85.0% Zone contact: 85.0%, 52nd percentile
Strikeout % 22.4% Strikeout %: 22.4%, 45th percentile
Walk % 9.1% Walk %: 9.1%, 54th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP96.482.43613%15%24%+2.23+2.51
RHP287.298.31826%7%27%+0.15+0.05
Attack angle
13.3° (59% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−0.2°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
8%
Pull-air %
22.0%
Hard-hit %
41.7%
Slash · wRC+
.238/.319/.421 · 103

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.9−0.1−1.5+0.8+0.2+0.4+2.5+3.5+0.1−1.3−2.2−1.4−2.9+0.4+0.1−0.1+1.0+0.3+2.3−0.7−0.1−0.8−1.0−0.7+0.8RHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+3.5 vs. league per 100; 1.6 standard errors on 76 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−2.9), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 102 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,373 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Steer: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
70Tyler Stephenson CIN · ’96.3301.31.5Free agent
69Justin Foscue TEX · ’99.3251.71.0Pre-arb
61Mike Yastrzemski ATL · ’90.3090.60.4Signed $10.0M
58Francisco Lindor NYM · ’93.3312.23.2Signed $34.1M
56Dylan Beavers BAL · ’01.296−0.20.5Pre-arb

Tyler Stephenson (similarity 70, 1.5 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
1B +0.7 −11.8
LF −6.0 −13.5
2B −15.9 −16.4
RF −7.6 −18.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026CF000.00.060
20262B−2−1−0.1−1.1506
2026LF+1+1−0.3+0.7875
2026RF−3−2−0.3−2.3959
20261B+1+1+0.8+1.81,166
2025LF−3−30.0−3.0329
20251B+6+5−4.4+0.64,253
2024SS000.00.011
2024RF000.00.031
20242B000.00.096
20241B−10−1.6−1.62,088
2024LF−2−2−0.1−2.13,343
2023RF000.00.058
20232B−1−10.0−1.0554
2023LF−3−3+0.1−2.91,370
20233B−6−5+0.1−4.91,494
20231B−5−4−0.2−4.22,230

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) +30Back −30Toward 3B line +4−1Toward 1B line 0−1vs. RHH −1−2vs. LHH +40
Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)
Arm at 1B 69.5 mph · 15th
Sprint speed 28.5 ft/s · 81st
Reaction −0.2 ft · 44th
Burst 0.0 ft · 47th
Route +0.1 ft · 52nd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0120%
★★★★010%
★★★3743%
★★99100%
★7978%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF100−3.6
2026LF86+2.0
20262B42−5.8
20261B61+2.2
20251B257+1.1
2024LF324+6.1
20241B120−0.8

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.9 WAR Arbitration $4.3M*
2028 0.6 WAR Arbitration $6.5M*
2029 0.2 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 67% 4/6 won · −0.4 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.