COL · P

Gabriel Hughes

Age 25 B/T R/R 6′4″, 238 lb USA MLB debut 2026

40-man FV 40 · #24 in org

Colorado’s roster as it stands #5 starter · 106 IP · 1.4 WAR in the role

Keystone Stuff 97 38th pct

2026 fWAR 1.1

Projected 2027 WAR 1.3 at 102 IP · 1.4 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,142 pitches

Keystone Stuff 97

Keystone Location 102

Keystone Pitching 94

Run value (xRV) +0.21

Strikeout % 19.8%

Walk % 8.5%

Whiff % 20.7%

Chase % 26.6%

Fastball velo 92.5

Extension 6.9 ft

64.0 IP6.33 ERA4.04 FIP 44° arm1 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 44° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam50% use	50%	92.4	10.4	−1.2	104	105	18%	+1.01
Curveball12% use	12%	78.7	−12.2	−8.4	89	94	29%	−0.31
Changeup11% use	11%	87.8	3.6	+10.7	81	89	10%	−1.39
Sinker11% use	11%	92.8	8.7	+8.6	86	106	24%	+0.77
Sweeper9% use	9%	85.5	4.7	−12.3	110	94	26%	−2.75
Slider8% use	8%	86.5	3.4	−5.5	100	103	26%	+0.66

Weak pitch to watch

Changeup grades 81 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 110. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.

Weak pitch to watch

Curveball grades 89 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 110. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Hughes: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
51	Kyle Leahy STL · ’97	95	2.6	1.5	Arb
45	Davis Martin CWS · ’97	88	2.6	1.8	Pre-arb
44	Brandon Pfaadt AZ · ’98	96	2.2	2.0	Signed $5.4M
41	Shane Bieber TOR · ’95	94	0.1	0.4	Free agent
37	Ryan Gusto MIA · ’99	97	1.0	1.1	—

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 50%

54% zone

Curveball 15%

31% zone

Changeup 14%

36% zone

Sinker 9%

51% zone

Slider 6%

42% zone

Sweeper 6%

41% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.3 WAR —

2028 1.4 WAR —

2029 1.5 WAR —

2030 1.5 WAR —

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026A+	A+	Spokane Indians	24	2	6 IP	6 IP · 0.00 ERA · 43.5% K · 13.0% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	24	9	40.2 IP	40.2 IP · 5.31 ERA · 27.7% K · 6.4% BB
2025AA	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	23	9	41 IP	41 IP · 3.07 ERA · 22.3% K · 5.1% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	23	14	61.2 IP	61.2 IP · 5.11 ERA · 17.5% K · 10.6% BB
2025ROK	ROK	ACL Rockies	23	1	2.2 IP	2.2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 45.5% K · 9.1% BB

FanGraphs: FV 40 · ETA 2026. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.