PIT · LF

Tyler Callihan

Age 26 B/T L/R 5′11″, 205 lb USA MLB debut 2025

Pittsburgh org 40-man FV 35+ · #38 in org

Winter Plan on the 40-man; opens 2027 in the minors

xwOBA .249 wOBA .289

2026 fWAR −0.1

Projected 2027 WAR 0.0 Keystone Marcel+ at 254 PA

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · MLB

Bat speed 70.3 mph Jul ’26 · 38 PA Jun ’26 – Jul ’26

Chase rate 35% Jul ’26 · 38 PA Jun ’26 – Jul ’26

Zone contact 73% Jul ’26 · 38 PA Jun ’26 – Jul ’26

Exit velocity (avg) 81.7 mph Jul ’26 · 38 PA Jun ’26 – Jul ’26

xwOBA .150 Jul ’26 · 38 PA Jun ’26 – Jul ’26

Strikeout rate 45% Jul ’26 · 38 PA Jun ’26 – Jul ’26

Hitting · 2026

106 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .249

Swing decisions +0.67

Contact value −3.56

Bat speed 70.2

Squared-up / swing 13%

Blasts / swing 4%

EV90 100.6

Barrel % 6.9%

Chase % 33.5%

Zone contact 72.3%

Strikeout % 35.9%

Walk % 8.5%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	7	.664	.365	0%	14%	22%	+4.30	−1.04
RHP	99	.263	.241	38%	8%	34%	+0.46	−3.77

Attack angle: 12.4° (40% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: −6.6°
Swing length: 7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate: 10%
Pull-air %: 32.8%
Hard-hit %: 27.6%
Slash · wRC+: .210/.283/.390 · 81

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage middle-in (+6.1 vs. league per 100; 2.9 standard errors on 18 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−2.0), but only 0.9 standard errors from average on 22 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 383 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Callihan: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
66	Esteury Ruiz MIA · ’99	.277	0.7	0.6	Arb
26	David Fry CLE · ’95	.271	0.2	0.2	Arb
26	Josh Lowe LAA · ’98	.285	0.6	0.4	Arb
23	Colt Emerson SEA · ’05	.248	−0.1	0.5	Signed $3.0M
19	Nolan Gorman STL · ’00	.278	−0.5	−0.1	Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth

LF −1.0prior −8.5

2B −12.8prior −10.3

RF −3.1prior −10.6

3B −15.1prior −12.6

1B −0.6prior −13.1

Outs Above Average by position

Season	Pos	OAA	Range	Arm, DP	Runs	Batters
2026	2B	0	0	−0.1	−0.1	109
2026	3B	−2	−2	−0.1	−2.1	165
2026	1B	0	0	−0.1	−0.1	190
2026	LF	0	0	−0.2	−0.2	219
2026	RF	0	0	−0.2	−0.2	276
2025	2B	0	0	0.0	0.0	9
2025	LF	−1	−1	+0.2	−0.8	77

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)

2026 · 3B In (charging) −1Back 0Toward 3B line −1Toward 1B line 0vs. RHH −1vs. LHH −1

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)

Arm strength —

Sprint speed 28.0 ft/s · 67th

Reaction +1.5 ft · 87th

Burst +3.1 ft · 100th

Route +0.4 ft · 73rd

Catch difficulty (latest season)

Play	Made	Chances	Rate
★★★★★	0	6	0%
★★★★	0	0	—
★★★	0	0	—
★★	0	0	—
★	2	2	100%

Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)

Season	Zone	Balls	Outs vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.0 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $780K*

2028 0.0 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $803K*

2029 −0.1 WAR Arbitration (est.) $1.2M*

2030 −0.3 WAR Arbitration (est.) $1.3M*

* Estimated: RosterResource has no contract row for him, so control through 2031 estimated from his MLB debut (2025-04-30): six years of service at the earliest; he isn’t in the contract data, and time in the minors would add seasons; pre-arbitration years at the minimum, arbitration years from Keystone’s arbitration model. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	26	90	378 PA	378 PA · .226/.315/.361 · 10 HR · 25.1% K · 11.1% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Louisville Bats	25	24	106 PA	106 PA · .303/.410/.528 · 4 HR · 27.4% K · 15.1% BB

Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 93 over his 2026 season (378 PA, mostly AAA), 0.8 years younger than his level; trend −23.9 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: On track. Prospects →

FanGraphs: FV 35+ · ETA 2026. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks; where he has it, the development panel above shows it.

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 1/2 won · +0.2 runs