LAA · LF

Josh Lowe

Age 28 B/T L/R 6′3″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2021

40-man

The Angels’ roster as it stands starts at RF · 412 PA · 0.4 WAR in the role
Trade read Likely available: LAA projects to miss the playoffs (11% odds) and he has 2 years of control left: a natural trade candidate.

xwOBA .285 wOBA .282

2026 fWAR 0.6

Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 at 415 PA · 0.4 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 342 PA

xwOBA .285

Swing decisions +0.38

Contact value −0.81

Bat speed 73.2

Squared-up / swing 14%

Blasts / swing 4%

EV90 103.3

Barrel % 9.0%

Chase % 36.0%

Zone contact 72.0%

Strikeout % 30.7%

Walk % 7.0%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	55	.193	.184	36%	4%	36%	−0.20	−2.35
RHP	287	.298	.304	30%	8%	36%	+0.48	−0.59

Attack angle: 11.3° (44% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: −1.5°
Swing length: 7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate: 32%
Pull-air %: 17.1%
Hard-hit %: 37.1%
Slash · wRC+: .209/.273/.360 · 76

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage down and in (+5.4 vs. league per 100; 2.4 standard errors on 70 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−4.6), but only 2.2 standard errors from average on 92 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,346 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Lowe: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
61	Colt Emerson SEA · ’05	.248	−0.1	0.5	Signed $3.0M
59	Carlos Narváez BAL · ’98	.267	−0.6	0.8	Pre-arb
47	Derek Hill PHI · ’95	.296	1.0	0.8	Arb
46	Jose Siri LAA · ’95	.307	0.6	0.5	Arb
42	Paul Goldschmidt NYY · ’87	.311	1.6	0.0	Free agent

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth

LF −1.9 −9.4

RF −2.5 −10.0

CF −10.3 −10.8

1B −2.0prior −17.5

Outs Above Average by position

Season	Pos	OAA	Range	Arm, DP	Runs	Batters
2026	CF	+2	+2	+0.6	+2.6	507
2026	RF	0	0	+1.6	+1.6	1,381
2026	LF	0	0	+1.7	+1.7	1,507
2025	RF	−4	−4	−1.7	−5.7	3,585
2024	CF	0	0	0.0	0.0	30
2024	LF	+1	0	−0.1	−0.1	448
2024	RF	−3	−2	−0.4	−2.4	2,578
2023	LF	0	0	0.0	0.0	65
2023	CF	−2	−2	+0.1	−1.9	408
2023	RF	−1	−1	+1.3	+0.3	3,225

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)

2024 · RF2025 · RF In (charging) +1−1Back 00Toward 3B line −3−1Toward 1B line 0−2vs. RHH −2−1vs. LHH 0−3

At RF in 2025, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)

Arm at RF 87.6 mph · 43rd

Sprint speed 28.1 ft/s · 70th

Reaction −0.5 ft · 32nd

Burst 0.0 ft · 47th

Route +0.7 ft · 87th

Catch difficulty (latest season)

Play	Made	Chances	Rate
★★★★★	0	17	0%
★★★★	3	3	100%
★★★	3	6	50%
★★	7	8	88%
★	15	16	94%

Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)

Season	Zone	Balls	Outs vs. exp.
2026	RF	113	−0.6
2026	LF	129	+0.5
2026	CF	47	+2.9
2025	RF	328	−2.8
2024	RF	285	−7.1
2024	LF	40	+0.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Arbitration $3.2M*

2028 0.1 WAR Arbitration $5.0M*

2029 −0.2 WAR Free agent

2030 −0.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	28	26	126 PA	126 PA · .299/.397/.617 · 9 HR · 26.2% K · 14.3% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Durham Bulls	27	5	22 PA	22 PA · .235/.364/.412 · 1 HR · 27.3% K · 18.2% BB
2025ROK	ROK	FCL Rays	27	1	5 PA	5 PA · .333/.600/1.333 · 1 HR · 20.0% K · 40.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 100% 1/1 won · −0.2 runs