BAL · C

Carlos Narváez

Age 27 B/T R/R 5′11″, 190 lb Venezuela MLB debut 2024

40-man

Baltimore’s roster as it stands bench · 290 PA · 0.6 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: BAL 23% playoff odds; control through 2030.
PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −1.3 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.08 wins over 387 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.78 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →

xwOBA .267 wOBA .239

2026 fWAR −0.6

Projected 2027 WAR 0.8 at 387 PA · 0.6 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

285 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .267

Swing decisions +0.03

Contact value −1.59

Bat speed 72.0

Squared-up / swing 18%

Blasts / swing 5%

EV90 102.6

Barrel % 6.6%

Chase % 32.3%

Zone contact 76.4%

Strikeout % 31.6%

Walk % 6.7%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	77	.230	.226	29%	8%	31%	+0.88	−3.30
RHP	208	.243	.282	33%	6%	33%	−0.33	−0.93

Attack angle: 11.3° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: +1.9°
Swing length: 7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate: 18%
Pull-air %: 13.1%
Hard-hit %: 37.1%
Slash · wRC+: .161/.241/.226 · 33

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage up and away (+1.4 vs. league per 100; 0.6 standard errors on 59 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-away (−3.3), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 61 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,032 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Narváez: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
59	Josh Lowe LAA · ’98	.285	0.6	0.4	Arb
57	Paul Goldschmidt NYY · ’87	.311	1.6	0.0	Free agent
55	Brice Matthews HOU · ’02	.263	0.2	0.6	—
54	Brenton Doyle CWS · ’98	.248	−0.3	0.7	Arb
54	Derek Hill PHI · ’95	.296	1.0	0.8	Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth

C +8.6 +21.1

1B −2.0prior −17.5

Outs Above Average by position

Season	Pos	OAA	Range	Arm, DP	Runs	Batters
No MLB fielding yet.

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA)

No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)

Arm strength —

Sprint speed 25.3 ft/s · 9th

Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)

Season	Zone	Balls	Outs vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.8 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 0.7 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*

2029 0.4 WAR Arbitration $3.4M*

2030 0.1 WAR Arbitration $4.3M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 67% 2/3 won · +0.2 runs

As catcher 52% 43/82 won · −0.4 runs