WSH · P

Cade Cavalli

Age 28 B/T R/R 6′4″, 223 lb USA MLB debut 2022

40-man

Washington’s roster as it stands #1 starter · 136 IP · 2.4 WAR in the role
Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Extended in Sep 2026 (4 yr, $47M (2027-30), 2031 club option): clubs rarely move a player they just committed to.

Keystone Stuff 99 45th pct

2026 fWAR 3.9

Projected 2027 WAR 2.8 at 159 IP · 2.4 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,776 pitches

Keystone Stuff 99

Keystone Location 97

Keystone Pitching 100

Run value (xRV) +0.45

Strikeout % 28.3%

Walk % 6.8%

Whiff % 27.4%

Chase % 32.1%

Fastball velo 96.6

Extension 6.3 ft

169.2 IP3.02 ERA3.25 FIP 36° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 36° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam33% use	33%	96.8	14.6	+6.2	94	101	23%	+0.08
Knuckle curve27% use	27%	86.2	−10.8	−7.0	104	98	39%	+1.10
Sweeper14% use	14%	86.3	−7.6	−14.5	111	89	37%	+1.34
Sinker13% use	13%	96.1	7.4	+14.7	96	100	11%	+0.37
Changeup8% use	8%	89.1	4.5	+17.5	94	88	28%	−1.31
Cutter6% use	6%	93.5	8.1	−1.2	90	106	19%	+0.01

Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (96.8 mph) plus the typical shape 35 pitchers with his slot (36°) throw: a slider around 88.0 mph, 2.4″ rise, −8.0″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +6 against his knuckle curve, the pitch with the same job (+1 to +13 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 110 on his knuckle curve’s scale; the comps’ own sliders grade 106 at the median, so that sits above 83% of them. The fits disagree, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Cavalli: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
69	Braxton Ashcraft PIT · ’99	102	3.5	3.0	Pre-arb
57	George Kirby SEA · ’98	101	2.5	2.6	Arb
56	Shane Baz BAL · ’99	98	3.4	2.5	Signed $7.8M
55	Michael Soroka AZ · ’97	97	2.7	2.0	Free agent
51	Brandon Pfaadt AZ · ’98	96	2.2	2.0	Signed $5.4M

Michael Soroka (similarity 55, 2.0 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 34%

49% zone

Knuckle curve 32%

41% zone

Changeup 12%

36% zone

Sinker 10%

57% zone

Sweeper 8%

36% zone

Cutter 5%

57% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.8 WAR Guaranteed $5.0M

2028 2.8 WAR Guaranteed $8.0M

2029 2.6 WAR Guaranteed $11.0M

2030 2.4 WAR Guaranteed $21.0M

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025A	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	26	1	4 IP	4 IP · 0.00 ERA · 20.0% K · 13.3% BB
2025AA	AA	Harrisburg Senators	26	1	5 IP	5 IP · 0.00 ERA · 22.2% K · 5.6% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	26	15	65 IP	65 IP · 6.09 ERA · 25.1% K · 9.4% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 100% 1/1 won · +0.1 runs