Tanner Bibee
- Cleveland’s roster as it stands #4 starter · 148 IP · 1.4 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: CLE sits on the contender line (49% playoff odds, within a projected win of 50%), so it could buy or sell; control through 2030.
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,968 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter24% use | 24% | 85.8 | 2.1 | −6.9 | 110 | 91 | 31% | −0.48 |
| Four-seam23% use | 23% | 94.0 | 15.6 | +4.7 | 79 | 100 | 16% | −0.59 |
| Sinker21% use | 21% | 93.2 | 9.1 | +14.6 | 99 | 107 | 15% | +0.02 |
| Changeup15% use | 15% | 80.9 | 13.0 | +11.7 | 117 | 93 | 36% | +0.96 |
| Curveball11% use | 11% | 78.1 | −8.0 | −14.2 | 93 | 96 | 24% | −0.43 |
| Sweeper5% use | 5% | 82.5 | −0.6 | −16.4 | 104 | 106 | 17% | −0.51 |
Four-seam grades 79 and gets below-average expected results on 23% usage. Against all hitters, moving about 11 of every 100 pitches to the changeup (117 Stuff), about 45% of his four-seams to them, is worth an estimated 2.6 runs per season, after a 50% haircut for diminishing returns. vs. lefties: the changeup is worth +1.5 runs per 100 pitches more, 2.2 standard errors (380 and 473 pitches; his own results against that side combined with Stuff and the league’s platoon split). vs. righties: the changeup is worth +1.8 runs per 100 pitches more, 2.4 standard errors (78 and 223 pitches; his own results against that side combined with Stuff and the league’s platoon split). His fastballs stay at 35%+.
Curveball grades 93 with below-average expected results; his changeup grades 117. The best case is against lefties: the changeup is worth +1.3 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.7 standard errors (380 and 208 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Bibee: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Aaron Civale CHC · ’95 | 96 | 0.8 | 0.7 | Free agent |
| 19 | Drew Rasmussen TB · ’95 | 112 | 5.0 | 3.4 | Club option $8.0M |
| 14 | Walker Buehler SD · ’94 | 95 | 1.5 | 0.5 | Free agent |
| 9 | Gabriel Hughes COL · ’01 | 97 | 1.1 | 1.3 | — |
| 5 | Chase Shugart PHI · ’96 | 104 | −0.1 | 0.0 | Pre-arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant