Players / Player profile
AZ · LF

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Age 33 B/T R/R 6′3″, 215 lb Cuba MLB debut 2018
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $1.1M ($576K–$3M) if his club option is declined
  • Injured list 2026: Right adductor strain (Jul 18–Sep 1)
xwOBA .273 wOBA .252
2026 fWAR −1.0
Projected 2027 WAR 0.0 Keystone Marcel+ at 355 PA

Hitting · 2026

201 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .273 xwOBA: .273
Swing decisions −1.29 Swing decisions: −1.29
Contact value −0.98 Contact value: −0.98
Bat speed 70.9 Bat speed: 70.9
Squared-up / swing 23% Squared-up / swing: 23%
Blasts / swing 4% Blasts / swing: 4%
EV90 101.0 EV90: 101.0
Barrel % 4.6% Barrel %: 4.6%
Chase % 40.6% Chase %: 40.6%
Zone contact 88.2% Zone contact: 88.2%
Strikeout % 18.9% Strikeout %: 18.9%
Walk % 5.0% Walk %: 5.0%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP54.248.29713%7%45%−1.15−0.42
RHP147.253.26421%4%39%−1.34−1.21
Attack angle
10.9° (51% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.0°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Fast-swing rate
10%
Pull-air %
16.6%
Hard-hit %
33.8%
Slash · wRC+
.210/.254/.290 · 49

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.2−0.4+0.2−1.9−0.5−0.8−2.9−0.9−0.1+0.4−0.2−3.2−1.4−0.2−0.4+0.4−1.2+1.9−1.2−0.1−1.6−2.1−1.5+0.7−0.7RHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+1.9 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 41 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−3.2), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 27 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 657 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Gurriel: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
61Ceddanne Rafaela BOS · ’00.2884.13.0Signed $3.8M
60Jake McCarthy COL · ’97.3232.71.8Arb
60Jose Altuve HOU · ’90.2740.90.5Signed $33.0M
56Jonah Heim ATH · ’95.285−0.6−0.6Free agent
55Freddy Fermin SD · ’95.2791.00.9Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
LF −2.0 −9.5
RF −4.0prior −14.5
1B −1.5prior −17.0
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF−3−3+0.7−2.31,264
2025LF−4−3+0.4−2.64,302
2024LF+3+2−1.6+0.44,546
20231B000.00.03
2023LF+1+1+2.3+3.33,302

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at LF)
2025 · LF2026 · LF In (charging) 00Back −1−1Toward 3B line 00Toward 1B line −3−1vs. RHH −1−1vs. LHH −2−2
Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)
Arm at LF 87.0 mph · 58th
Sprint speed 26.1 ft/s · 20th
Reaction +0.6 ft · 69th
Burst −1.5 ft · 11th
Route +0.2 ft · 59th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★030%
★★★★020%
★★★1425%
★★3475%
★77100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026LF120−1.2
2025LF408−6.0
2024LF448+1.7

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.0 WAR Club option $14.0M
2028 −0.5 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.9 WAR Free agent
2030 −1.2 WAR Free agent

His 2027 is a $14.0M club option, decided by Arizona about five days after the World Series. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAmarillo Sod Poodles3229 PA 9 PA · .250/.333/.750 · 1 HR · 0.0% K · 11.1% BB
2026AAAAAAReno Aces32833 PA 33 PA · .107/.182/.107 · 0 HR · 27.3% K · 9.1% BB
2026ROKROKACL D-backs32519 PA 19 PA · .250/.263/.313 · 0 HR · 31.6% K · 5.3% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 1/3 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.