Jake McCarthy
- Colorado’s roster as it stands starts at LF · 512 PA · 1.7 WAR in the role
- Trade read Likely available: COL projects to miss the playoffs (9% odds) and he has 2 years of control left: a natural trade candidate.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 595 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 182 | .394 | .338 | 14% | 4% | 38% | −0.35 | +0.46 |
| RHP | 413 | .342 | .316 | 17% | 5% | 38% | −0.80 | −0.14 |
- Attack angle
- 8.4° (50% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −1.8°
- Swing length
- 7.1 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 14%
- Pull-air %
- 15.8%
- Hard-hit %
- 28.3%
- Slash · wRC+
- .291/.334/.475 · 108
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-middle (+3.8 vs. league per 100; 1.9 standard errors on 112 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down over the middle (−2.7), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 121 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,792 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like McCarthy: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | Jacob Gonzalez PIT · ’02 | .298 | −0.1 | 0.3 | — |
| 65 | Nathan Church STL · ’00 | .284 | 0.4 | 0.6 | Pre-arb |
| 64 | Vaughn Grissom LAA · ’01 | .309 | 0.2 | 0.1 | — |
| 60 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. AZ · ’93 | .273 | −1.0 | 0.0 | Free agent |
| 60 | Jonah Heim ATH · ’95 | .285 | −0.6 | −0.6 | Free agent |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 0 | 0 | −0.4 | −0.4 | 520 |
| 2026 | CF | 0 | 0 | −1.4 | −1.4 | 1,989 |
| 2026 | LF | 0 | 0 | −1.7 | −1.7 | 2,525 |
| 2025 | RF | +1 | +1 | −0.2 | +0.8 | 358 |
| 2025 | CF | 0 | 0 | −0.3 | −0.3 | 453 |
| 2025 | LF | +2 | +1 | −0.8 | +0.2 | 1,254 |
| 2024 | LF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 713 |
| 2024 | RF | +2 | +2 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 1,739 |
| 2024 | CF | +3 | +3 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 2,128 |
| 2023 | CF | +1 | +1 | −0.4 | +0.6 | 450 |
| 2023 | RF | −1 | −1 | −2.5 | −3.5 | 2,532 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 1 | 32 | 3% |
| ★★★★ | 1 | 5 | 20% |
| ★★★ | 9 | 17 | 53% |
| ★★ | 16 | 17 | 94% |
| ★ | 27 | 27 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 59 | +1.9 |
| 2026 | LF | 274 | −1.7 |
| 2026 | CF | 266 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | RF | 44 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | LF | 138 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | CF | 56 | −0.6 |
| 2024 | RF | 172 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | LF | 85 | −2.6 |
| 2024 | CF | 240 | −0.8 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Reno Aces | 27 | 49 | 237 PA | 237 PA · .314/.401/.440 · 1 HR · 13.9% K · 10.1% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant