Players / Player profile
HOU · P

Bryan Abreu

Age 29 B/T R/R 6′1″, 230 lb Dominican Republic MLB debut 2019
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $4.2M ($2M–$10M) · +0.4 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan in the bullpen
Keystone Stuff 109 80th pct
2026 fWAR −0.3
Projected 2027 WAR 0.6 Keystone Marcel+ at 68 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,093 pitches

Keystone Stuff 109 Keystone Stuff: 109, 80th percentile
Keystone Location 80 Keystone Location: 80, 4th percentile
Keystone Pitching 91 Keystone Pitching: 91, 21st percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.21 Run value (xRV): +0.21, 55th percentile
Strikeout % 29.8% Strikeout %: 29.8%, 91st percentile
Walk % 15.3% Walk %: 15.3%, 2nd percentile
Whiff % 33.8% Whiff %: 33.8%, 96th percentile
Chase % 27.6% Chase %: 27.6%, 20th percentile
Fastball velo 95.7 Fastball velo: 95.7, 70th percentile
Extension 6.5 ft Extension: 6.5 ft, 55th percentile
62.2 IP3.73 ERA4.62 FIP 42° arm9 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →SL4SFC
RHP · arm angle 42° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Slider44% use44%86.5−5.4−6.71119839%+0.36
Four-seam44% use44%95.716.7+6.11038028%−0.16
Cutter11% use11%93.011.3−0.1987236%+1.25

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Abreu: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
58Kevin Ginkel AZ · ’94950.80.5Free agent
58Jonathan Bowlan PHI · ’961140.80.5Pre-arb
50Trevor Megill MIL · ’931212.51.5Arb
50Luis Medina ATH · ’991030.90.6Arb
47Victor Vodnik MIA · ’991090.20.4Arb

Kevin Ginkel (similarity 58, 0.5 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Slider 44%
39% zone
Four-seam 40%
37% zone
Cutter 16%
51% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.6 WAR Free agent
2028 0.5 WAR Free agent
2029 0.4 WAR Free agent
2030 0.2 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 0% 0/1 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.