MIA · P

Victor Vodnik

Age 27 B/T R/R 6′0″, 216 lb USA MLB debut 2023

40-man Pitch-design idea

Miami’s roster as it stands bullpen · 54 IP · 0.3 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: Right ulnar nerve inflammation (May 20–Jun 15)
Trade read Available at a price: MIA 38% playoff odds; control through 2029.

Keystone Stuff 109 82nd pct

2026 fWAR 0.2

Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 at 64 IP · 0.3 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,027 pitches

Keystone Stuff 109

Keystone Location 84

Keystone Pitching 98

Run value (xRV) +0.18

Strikeout % 16.5%

Walk % 12.4%

Whiff % 25.2%

Chase % 26.4%

Fastball velo 98.6

Extension 6.7 ft

58.2 IP4.91 ERA4.11 FIP 44° arm4 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 44° · how to read Show suggested pitch

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam46% use	46%	98.6	13.3	+5.4	103	90	18%	−0.61
Slider28% use	28%	89.0	−1.3	−2.4	112	97	34%	+1.13
Changeup15% use	15%	92.1	2.4	+15.0	98	85	26%	+0.35
Slurve7% use	7%	87.3	−9.4	−5.3	120	68	50%	+0.54
Sinker4% use	4%	98.7	9.1	+14.5	112	80	17%	−0.12

Pitch design

Built from his own fastball (98.6 mph) plus the typical shape 17 pitchers with his slot (44°) throw: a sinker around 98.4 mph, 9.0″ rise, +12.8″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +12 against his changeup, his weakest pitch that breaks the same way (+8 to +17 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 110 on his changeup’s scale; the comps’ own sinkers grade 101 at the median, so that sits above 88% of them. A season-long project that may not take: about 0.6 runs a season if it does.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Vodnik: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
57	Jonathan Bowlan PHI · ’96	114	0.8	0.5	Pre-arb
53	Lucas Erceg KC · ’95	98	−0.5	0.3	Arb
52	Louis Varland TOR · ’97	120	3.1	1.5	Arb
49	Ryne Stanek STL · ’91	102	0.0	−0.1	Free agent
47	Bryan Abreu HOU · ’97	109	−0.3	0.6	Free agent

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 45%

46% zone

Slider 27%

50% zone

Changeup 18%

36% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*

2028 0.4 WAR Arbitration $2.0M*

2029 0.4 WAR Arbitration $2.3M*

2030 0.3 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	26	2	2 IP	2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 57.1% K · 14.3% BB
2025AA	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	25	2	1.2 IP	1.2 IP · 10.80 ERA · 25.0% K · 12.5% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 0% 0/1 won · 0.0 runs