AZ · P

Kevin Ginkel

Age 32 B/T L/R 6′4″, 235 lb USA MLB debut 2019

40-man

Free agent est. 1 yr × $6.0M ($2M–$12M) · +0.3 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan in the bullpen

Keystone Stuff 95 27th pct

2026 fWAR 0.8

Projected 2027 WAR 0.5 Keystone Marcel+ at 66 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,099 pitches

Keystone Stuff 95

Keystone Location 112

Keystone Pitching 102

Run value (xRV) +0.53

Strikeout % 26.2%

Walk % 6.2%

Whiff % 29.3%

Chase % 36.1%

Fastball velo 95.7

Extension 6.8 ft

67.2 IP4.12 ERA3.50 FIP 43° arm3 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 43° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Slider48% use	48%	85.7	−2.6	−4.2	109	108	41%	+1.70
Four-seam46% use	46%	95.7	15.5	+8.8	84	108	19%	−0.79
Sinker5% use	5%	95.2	11.7	+15.0	91	99	10%	+1.36

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Ginkel: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
58	Bryan Abreu HOU · ’97	109	−0.3	0.6	Free agent
49	Pierce Johnson CIN · ’91	99	−0.1	0.0	Free agent
47	Gordon Graceffo STL · ’00	91	0.6	0.6	Pre-arb
47	Ben Brown CHC · ’99	100	2.0	1.9	Arb
46	Lucas Erceg KC · ’95	98	−0.5	0.3	Arb

Bryan Abreu (similarity 58, 0.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 56%

42% zone

Slider 44%

38% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.5 WAR Free agent

2028 0.4 WAR Free agent

2029 0.2 WAR Free agent

2030 0.0 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AAA	AAA	Reno Aces	31	6	4 IP	4 IP · 6.75 ERA · 20.0% K · 28.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 100% 1/1 won · +0.1 runs