Antonio Senzatela
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $4.1M ($2M–$10M) if his club option is declined · +0.1 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as call-up depth
1 caution
- His $14.0M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,165 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter34% use | 34% | 92.3 | 7.0 | −2.7 | 97 | 88 | 26% | +0.57 |
| Four-seam31% use | 31% | 97.3 | 13.3 | +5.6 | 94 | 113 | 29% | +0.36 |
| Sinker21% use | 21% | 96.8 | 6.7 | +13.9 | 98 | 101 | 13% | +0.35 |
| Curveball9% use | 9% | 83.5 | −4.6 | −5.2 | 96 | 86 | 29% | −1.78 |
| Changeup5% use | 5% | 90.8 | 6.9 | +11.8 | 85 | 97 | 10% | −5.07 |
Built from his own fastball (97.3 mph) plus the typical shape 15 pitchers with his slot (40°) throw: a sweeper around 85.3 mph, −0.2″ rise, −17.0″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +21 against his curveball, the pitch with the same job (+15 to +30 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 117 on his curveball’s scale; the comps’ own sweepers grade 113 at the median, so that sits above 80% of them. A season-long project that may not take: about 1.2 runs a season if it does.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Senzatela: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Chase Shugart PHI · ’96 | 104 | −0.1 | 0.0 | Pre-arb |
| 38 | Chad Patrick MIL · ’98 | 103 | 0.7 | 1.1 | Pre-arb |
| 24 | Walker Buehler SD · ’94 | 95 | 1.5 | 0.5 | Free agent |
| 22 | Gordon Graceffo STL · ’00 | 91 | 0.6 | 0.6 | Pre-arb |
| 22 | Aaron Civale CHC · ’95 | 96 | 0.8 | 0.7 | Free agent |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $14.0M club option, decided by Milwaukee ≈ Nov 1–5. The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →