MIL · P

Chad Patrick

Age 28 B/T R/R 6′1″, 217 lb USA MLB debut 2025

40-man Pitch-design idea

Milwaukee’s roster as it stands #5 starter · 102 IP · 1.1 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: MIL 81% playoff odds; control through 2031.

Keystone Stuff 103 60th pct

2026 fWAR 0.7

Projected 2027 WAR 1.1 at 95 IP · 1.1 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,730 pitches

Keystone Stuff 103

Keystone Location 82

Keystone Pitching 87

Run value (xRV) +0.04

Strikeout % 21.1%

Walk % 10.7%

Whiff % 26.1%

Chase % 29.2%

Fastball velo 95.6

Extension 6.1 ft

106.0 IP3.40 ERA4.17 FIP 32° arm6 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 32° · how to read Show suggested pitch

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Cutter42% use	42%	89.9	12.0	−2.7	109	87	30%	+0.42
Four-seam25% use	25%	95.6	15.2	+7.2	96	95	31%	+0.06
Sinker24% use	24%	95.6	8.8	+15.2	94	95	15%	−0.12
Slurve8% use	8%	86.1	−2.9	−4.9	102	68	22%	−0.75

Pitch design

Built from his own fastball (95.6 mph) plus the typical shape 34 pitchers with his slot (32°) throw: a sweeper around 84.7 mph, 4.5″ rise, −15.9″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +13 against his slurve, the pitch with the same job (+10 to +17 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 116 on his slurve’s scale; the comps’ own sweepers grade 109 at the median, so that sits above 76% of them. A season-long project that may not take: about 1.2 runs a season if it does.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Patrick: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
38	Antonio Senzatela MIL · ’95	94	1.1	0.3	Free agent
26	Chase Shugart PHI · ’96	104	−0.1	0.0	Pre-arb
22	Ryan Watson LAA · ’97	98	0.7	0.5	—
21	Walker Buehler SD · ’94	95	1.5	0.5	Free agent
19	Matt Festa CLE · ’93	111	0.6	0.4	Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Cutter 47%

42% zone

Sinker 28%

45% zone

Four-seam 18%

33% zone

Slurve 7%

20% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.1 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 1.0 WAR Pre-arb $803K*

2029 1.0 WAR Arbitration $2.5M*

2030 0.8 WAR Arbitration $4.9M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AAA	AAA	Nashville Sounds	26	8	42.1 IP	42.1 IP · 4.04 ERA · 25.0% K · 9.4% BB