Players / Player profile
NYY · P

Gerrit Cole

Age 36 B/T R/R 6′4″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2013
40-man Pitch-design idea
  • The Yankees’ roster as it stands #5 starter · 103 IP · 1.2 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Tommy John surgery recovery (Mar 25–May 22)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: 10-and-5 rights (12+ years of service, five straight seasons with NYY): he can veto any trade.
Keystone Stuff 104 64th pct
2026 fWAR 2.1
Projected 2027 WAR 1.1 at 97 IP · 1.2 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,923 pitches

Keystone Stuff 104 Keystone Stuff: 104, 64th percentile
Keystone Location 108 Keystone Location: 108, 86th percentile
Keystone Pitching 106 Keystone Pitching: 106, 78th percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.41 Run value (xRV): +0.41, 68th percentile
Strikeout % 25.2% Strikeout %: 25.2%, 70th percentile
Walk % 4.8% Walk %: 4.8%, 97th percentile
Whiff % 21.5% Whiff %: 21.5%, 20th percentile
Chase % 29.1% Chase %: 29.1%, 35th percentile
Fastball velo 96.7 Fastball velo: 96.7, 83rd percentile
Extension 6.2 ft Extension: 6.2 ft, 28th percentile
127.0 IP3.61 ERA3.93 FIP 38° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSLKCCHSI
RHP · arm angle 38° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam49% use49%96.816.8+9.810110721%+0.76
Slider20% use20%89.52.5−4.410610926%+0.42
Knuckle curve14% use14%83.3−14.0−11.710310421%+0.11
Changeup13% use13%86.08.5+14.91009322%+0.19
Sinker4% use4%96.011.5+16.197956%−2.38
Pitch design

Built from his own fastball (96.8 mph) plus the typical shape 20 pitchers with his slot (38°) throw: a sweeper around 85.1 mph, 2.8″ rise, −11.8″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +17 against his knuckle curve, the pitch with the same job (+9 to +28 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 120 on his knuckle curve’s scale; the comps’ own sweepers grade 112 at the median, so that sits above 85% of them. A season-long project that may not take: about 1.6 runs a season if it does.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Cole: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
64Bubba Chandler PIT · ’021032.02.2Pre-arb
61Zebby Matthews MIN · ’00920.71.1—
57George Kirby SEA · ’981012.52.6Arb
57Max Scherzer TOR · ’84970.30.1Free agent
55Keider Montero DET · ’00922.51.7Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 48%
50% zone
Changeup 19%
33% zone
Slider 17%
51% zone
Knuckle curve 15%
44% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.1 WAR Guaranteed $36.0M
2028 0.7 WAR Guaranteed $36.0M
2029 0.4 WAR Free agent
2030 0.1 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026A+A+Hudson Valley Renegades3528.2 IP 8.2 IP · 6.23 ERA · 21.1% K · 0.0% BB
2026AAAASomerset Patriots35315 IP 15 IP · 4.80 ERA · 25.0% K · 3.6% BB
2026AAAAAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders3515.1 IP 5.1 IP · 1.69 ERA · 27.3% K · 4.5% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.