ATL · P
Chris Sale
Age 37 B/T L/L 6′6″, 180 lb USA MLB debut 2010
- Atlanta’s roster as it stands #1 starter · 103 IP · 2.7 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: ATL sits near the seller line (30% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2028.
Keystone Stuff 121 97th pct
2026 fWAR 5.8
Projected 2027 WAR 2.6 at 97 IP · 2.7 in his 2027 role
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,574 pitches
162.2 IP2.16 ERA2.29 FIP 11° arm
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam41% use | 41% | 96.1 | 9.9 | +14.6 | 111 | 111 | 28% | +1.07 |
| Slider40% use | 40% | 79.8 | −4.2 | −12.5 | 121 | 105 | 38% | +1.66 |
| Changeup10% use | 10% | 88.5 | −0.2 | +16.4 | 103 | 114 | 30% | −0.13 |
| Sinker8% use | 8% | 95.6 | 2.5 | +18.0 | 112 | 102 | 11% | +1.84 |
No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Sale: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Kyle Harrison MIL · ’01 | 115 | 1.7 | 1.6 | Pre-arb |
| 33 | Jesús Luzardo PHI · ’97 | 109 | 5.5 | 4.5 | Signed $27.0M |
| 33 | Sean Manaea NYM · ’92 | 110 | 1.0 | 0.7 | Signed $25.0M |
| 27 | Ryan Weathers NYY · ’99 | 107 | 2.5 | 2.0 | Arb |
| 27 | Jacob Lopez ATH · ’98 | 109 | 0.8 | 1.1 | Pre-arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
2027 2.6 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M
2028 2.0 WAR Club option $30.0M
2029 1.5 WAR Free agent
2030 1.2 WAR Free agent
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 36 | 3 | 10.2 IP | 10.2 IP · 2.53 ERA · 25.0% K · 6.8% BB |