Players / Player profile
ATL · P

Chris Sale

Age 37 B/T L/L 6′6″, 180 lb USA MLB debut 2010
40-man
  • Atlanta’s roster as it stands #1 starter · 103 IP · 2.7 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: ATL sits near the seller line (30% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2028.
Keystone Stuff 121 97th pct
2026 fWAR 5.8
Projected 2027 WAR 2.6 at 97 IP · 2.7 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,574 pitches

Keystone Stuff 121 Keystone Stuff: 121, 97th percentile
Keystone Location 113 Keystone Location: 113, 95th percentile
Keystone Pitching 126 Keystone Pitching: 126, 99th percentile
Run value (xRV) +1.25 Run value (xRV): +1.25, 93rd percentile
Strikeout % 30.9% Strikeout %: 30.9%, 94th percentile
Walk % 4.8% Walk %: 4.8%, 97th percentile
Whiff % 30.4% Whiff %: 30.4%, 85th percentile
Chase % 36.5% Chase %: 36.5%, 96th percentile
Fastball velo 96.0 Fastball velo: 96.0, 74th percentile
Extension 6.5 ft Extension: 6.5 ft, 59th percentile
162.2 IP2.16 ERA2.29 FIP 11° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSLCHSI
LHP · arm angle 11° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam41% use41%96.19.9+14.611111128%+1.07
Slider40% use40%79.8−4.2−12.512110538%+1.66
Changeup10% use10%88.5−0.2+16.410311430%−0.13
Sinker8% use8%95.62.5+18.011210211%+1.84

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Sale: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
36Kyle Harrison MIL · ’011151.71.6Pre-arb
33Jesús Luzardo PHI · ’971095.54.5Signed $27.0M
33Sean Manaea NYM · ’921101.00.7Signed $25.0M
27Ryan Weathers NYY · ’991072.52.0Arb
27Jacob Lopez ATH · ’981090.81.1Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 46%
51% zone
Slider 40%
37% zone
Changeup 13%
36% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.6 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M
2028 2.0 WAR Club option $30.0M
2029 1.5 WAR Free agent
2030 1.2 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAGwinnett Stripers36310.2 IP 10.2 IP · 2.53 ERA · 25.0% K · 6.8% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.