PHI · P

Jesús Luzardo

Age 29 B/T L/L 6′0″, 218 lb Peru MLB debut 2019

40-man

Philadelphia’s roster as it stands #2 starter · 146 IP · 3.7 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: Left shoulder inflammation (Sep 15–Sep 27)
Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Extended in Mar 2026 (5 yr, $135M (2027-31), 2032 club option): clubs rarely move a player they just committed to.

Keystone Stuff 109 80th pct

2026 fWAR 5.5

Projected 2027 WAR 4.5 at 178 IP · 3.7 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,864 pitches

Keystone Stuff 109

Keystone Location 99

Keystone Pitching 108

Run value (xRV) +1.09

Strikeout % 30.3%

Walk % 7.1%

Whiff % 31.9%

Chase % 33.7%

Fastball velo 96.4

Extension 5.7 ft

179.2 IP2.86 ERA2.78 FIP 29° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

LHP · arm angle 29° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Sweeper38% use	38%	86.1	−0.8	−8.5	115	85	48%	+1.82
Four-seam26% use	26%	96.8	13.6	+12.0	95	108	19%	+0.49
Changeup18% use	18%	86.0	2.2	+15.5	104	110	37%	+0.56
Sinker17% use	17%	95.8	5.9	+17.9	104	106	11%	+0.97

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Luzardo: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
58	Ryan Weathers NYY · ’99	107	2.5	2.0	Arb
51	Anthony Kay CWS · ’95	102	1.3	0.8	Signed $5.0M
44	Connor Prielipp MIN · ’01	100	2.0	1.8	Pre-arb
42	Carlos Rodón NYY · ’92	109	1.8	1.5	Signed $27.8M
41	Shane McClanahan TB · ’97	104	2.4	1.9	Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Sweeper 35%

35% zone

Four-seam 30%

46% zone

Changeup 23%

43% zone

Sinker 12%

55% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 4.5 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M

2028 4.3 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M

2029 4.1 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M

2030 3.8 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 50% 1/2 won · 0.0 runs