PIT · AAA · P

Justin Meis

Age 26 B/T R/R 6′2″, 175 lb USA

Pittsburgh org

This winter

What the Winter Plan does with Meis: its decisions feed, the dated moves and the briefs

Rule 5 eligible; the plan leaves him unprotected on Nov 17.

Rule 5 pick risk 0.21 (the plan’s ordering, not a probability); expected loss if exposed 0.01 WAR.

Rule 5 protectiondue Nov 17 · medium confidence
Protect Termarr Johnson (2B, AAA, FV 45), Derek Diamond (SIRP, AAA, FV 40) and Keiner Delgado (SS, AA, FV 40) by Nov 17. Expose the rest; the most likely to be taken is Cy Nielson (AAA, risk 0.23; expected loss 0.03 long-term WAR, below the 0.06 that cutting Noah Murdock for a fourth spot would cost; the plan's rule protects at most three).

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · Triple-A

Fastball velo 95.3 mph Sep ’26 · 75 pitches Apr ’26 – Sep ’26

Stuff 83 Sep ’26 · 75 pitches Apr ’26 – Sep ’26

Whiff rate 27% Sep ’26 · 75 pitches Apr ’26 – Sep ’26

Zone rate 45% Sep ’26 · 75 pitches Apr ’26 – Sep ’26

Walk rate 5.6% Sep ’26 · 18 PA Apr ’26 – Sep ’26

Triple-A tracking · 2026 percentiles

vs. 548 Triple-A pitchers (500+ pitches) · 1,004 tracked pitches · the share he beats, so higher is better (fewer walks)

Fastball velo 95.4

Whiff % 25.6%

Zone % 43.9%

Walk % 15.1%

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AA	AA	Altoona Curve	26	9	12 IP	12 IP · 3.00 ERA · 30.2% K · 11.3% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	26	40	57.2 IP	57.2 IP · 4.37 ERA · 20.3% K · 15.1% BB
2025AA	AA	Altoona Curve	25	42	62.1 IP	62.1 IP · 2.89 ERA · 26.1% K · 8.2% BB

Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 92 over his 2026 season (304 BF, mostly AAA), 0.6 years younger than his level; trend −13.9 since 2025. Tag: Org depth. MiLB Stuff 88 on 1,004 tracked AAA pitches. Prospects →