BAL · P
Cade Povich
Age 26 B/T L/L 6′3″, 200 lb USA MLB debut 2024
- Baltimore’s roster as it stands #3 starter · 105 IP · 0.9 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Left elbow inflammation (May 8–Jun 27)
Keystone Stuff 103 60th pct
2026 fWAR 0.2
Projected 2027 WAR 0.9 at 100 IP · 0.9 in his 2027 role
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 611 pitches
37.0 IP4.38 ERA4.99 FIP 46° arm
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam46% use | 46% | 91.8 | 18.3 | +6.8 | 103 | 99 | 19% | +0.60 |
| Curveball22% use | 22% | 76.4 | −15.3 | −8.7 | 101 | 80 | 37% | +0.51 |
| Slider13% use | 13% | 86.7 | 6.8 | −5.3 | 109 | 99 | 29% | −2.51 |
| Changeup10% use | 10% | 85.1 | 6.1 | +14.6 | 96 | 96 | 16% | −2.82 |
| Sinker9% use | 9% | 91.3 | 13.7 | +14.4 | 93 | 82 | 9% | −2.98 |
No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Povich: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Andrew Alvarez WSH · ’99 | 97 | 2.5 | 2.2 | Pre-arb |
| 47 | MacKenzie Gore TEX · ’99 | 94 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Arb |
| 46 | Noah Cameron KC · ’99 | 99 | 2.8 | 2.4 | Pre-arb |
| 42 | Max Fried NYY · ’94 | 100 | 3.5 | 3.1 | Signed $31.5M |
| 41 | Parker Messick CLE · ’00 | 96 | 4.9 | 3.9 | Pre-arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
2027 0.9 WAR —
2028 0.9 WAR —
2029 0.8 WAR —
2030 0.8 WAR —
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 26 | 2 | 7 IP | 7 IP · 3.86 ERA · 25.0% K · 3.6% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 26 | 13 | 61.2 IP | 61.2 IP · 6.28 ERA · 25.4% K · 8.5% BB |
| 2025A+ | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 1 | 3 IP | 3 IP · 0.00 ERA · 33.3% K · 0.0% BB |
| 2025AAA | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 25 | 4 | 17.1 IP | 17.1 IP · 4.67 ERA · 23.7% K · 5.3% BB |