Wilber Dotel
- Winter Plan bullpen · 53 IP · 0.6 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Right lat muscle strain (Jun 13–Jul 20)
- Decision Brief 2027 starter hook and bullpen roles (due Spring training, medium confidence)
Development · trends & plan
Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.
Trends · MLB
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 706 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam45% use | 45% | 98.3 | 16.1 | +8.9 | 102 | 97 | 18% | +0.34 |
| Cutter25% use | 25% | 92.5 | 8.3 | −1.7 | 95 | 98 | 31% | −0.97 |
| Slider21% use | 21% | 88.0 | 1.0 | −5.4 | 109 | 110 | 29% | +1.98 |
| Splitter5% use | 5% | 87.4 | 4.6 | +13.6 | 101 | 85 | 20% | −1.46 |
Cutter grades 95 with below-average expected results; his slider grades 109. The best case is against lefties: the slider is worth +0.9 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.1 standard errors (65 and 95 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Built from his own fastball (98.3 mph) plus the typical shape 22 pitchers with his slot (43°) throw: a sinker around 98.2 mph, 12.4″ rise, +15.4″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +21 against his splitter, his weakest pitch that breaks the same way (+13 to +28 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 122 on his splitter’s scale; the comps’ own sinkers grade 100 at the median, so that sits above 100% of them. That would out-grade 100% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Dotel: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Lucas Erceg KC · ’95 | 98 | −0.5 | 0.3 | Arb |
| 50 | AJ Blubaugh HOU · ’00 | 104 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Pre-arb |
| 50 | Ryne Stanek STL · ’91 | 102 | 0.0 | −0.1 | Free agent |
| 50 | Ben Brown CHC · ’99 | 100 | 2.0 | 1.9 | Arb |
| 49 | Ryne Nelson AZ · ’98 | 104 | 0.0 | 1.0 | Arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* Estimated: RosterResource has no contract row for him, so control through 2032 estimated from his MLB debut (2026-04-19): six years of service at the earliest; he isn’t in the contract data, and time in the minors would add seasons; pre-arbitration years at the minimum, arbitration years from Keystone’s arbitration model. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Altoona Curve | 23 | 2 | 3 IP | 3 IP · 0.00 ERA · 45.5% K · 9.1% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 23 | 12 | 36 IP | 36 IP · 4.50 ERA · 20.5% K · 9.3% BB |
| 2025AA | AA | Altoona Curve | 22 | 27 | 125.2 IP | 125.2 IP · 4.15 ERA · 24.5% K · 8.0% BB |
Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 101 over his 2026 season (172 BF, mostly AAA), 3.8 years younger than his level; trend −3.2 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: On track. MiLB Stuff 105 on 615 tracked AAA pitches. Prospects →
FanGraphs: FV 45 · ETA 2026. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks; where he has it, the development panel above shows it.