Players / Player profile
PIT · P

Khristian Curtis

Age 24 B/T R/R 6′5″, 215 lb USA MLB debut 2026
Pittsburgh org 40-man FV 45 · #12 in org
  • Winter Plan call-up depth · 0.1 WAR in the role
Keystone Stuff 97 349 pitches · no pct under 500
2026 fWAR 0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 0.3 at 41 IP · 0.1 in his 2027 role

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · MLB

Fastball velo 95.1 mph Sep ’26 · 240 pitches Jul ’26 – Sep ’26
Stuff 97 Sep ’26 · 240 pitches Jul ’26 – Sep ’26
Location 79 Sep ’26 · 240 pitches Jul ’26 – Sep ’26
Whiff rate 23% Sep ’26 · 240 pitches Jul ’26 – Sep ’26
Zone rate 40% Sep ’26 · 240 pitches Jul ’26 – Sep ’26
Walk rate 15.0% Sep ’26 · 60 PA Jul ’26 – Sep ’26

Pitching · 2026

349 pitches: percentiles need 500+, so values only

Keystone Stuff 97 Keystone Stuff: 97
Keystone Location 88 Keystone Location: 88
Keystone Pitching 93 Keystone Pitching: 93
Run value (xRV) +0.31 Run value (xRV): +0.31
Strikeout % 14.9% Strikeout %: 14.9%
Walk % 13.8% Walk %: 13.8%
Whiff % 23.5% Whiff %: 23.5%
Chase % 30.2% Chase %: 30.2%
Fastball velo 95.4 Fastball velo: 95.4
Extension 6.8 ft Extension: 6.8 ft
21.0 IP4.71 ERA4.34 FIP 46° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

Stuff landscape
−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SFCCHSLCU
RHP · arm angle 46° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam35% use35%95.417.8+7.8999324%+0.46
Cutter32% use32%91.78.7−3.99810423%+0.93
Changeup18% use18%85.89.4+17.0949020%+0.14
Slider11% use11%85.5−0.7−5.01027330%−0.09
Curveball4% use4%77.2−15.7−7.591520%−3.70

Too few pitches to judge the mix: 349 in 2026, and the mix and design checks need 400.

Too few pitches to judge his mix: the Pitch Lab needs 400+ (he threw 349 in 2026), so no mix change or pitch idea is tested for him.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Curtis: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
51Keider Montero DET · ’00922.51.7Pre-arb
50Jack Leiter TEX · ’001030.51.2Pre-arb
50Tyler Mahle ATL · ’94942.11.9Free agent
49Bubba Chandler PIT · ’021032.02.2Pre-arb
49Peter Lambert HOU · ’97902.41.6Arb

Tyler Mahle (similarity 50, 1.9 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 33%
46% zone
Cutter 29%
51% zone
Changeup 26%
33% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.3 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $780K*
2028 0.3 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $803K*
2029 0.3 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $828K*
2030 0.3 WAR Arbitration (est.) $1.7M*

* Estimated: RosterResource has no contract row for him, so control through 2032 estimated from his MLB debut (2026-07-18): six years of service at the earliest; he isn’t in the contract data, and time in the minors would add seasons; pre-arbitration years at the minimum, arbitration years from Keystone’s arbitration model. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAltoona Curve241253.1 IP 53.1 IP · 4.73 ERA · 29.1% K · 10.9% BB
2026AAAAAAIndianapolis Indians241033 IP 33 IP · 5.18 ERA · 27.9% K · 15.6% BB
2025A+A+Greensboro Grasshoppers2326108.2 IP 108.2 IP · 3.98 ERA · 24.8% K · 9.8% BB
2025AAAAAltoona Curve2312 IP 2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 50.0% K · 0.0% BB

Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 104 over his 2026 season (377 BF, mostly AA), 2.0 years younger than his level; trend +1.7 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: On track. MiLB Stuff 103 on 637 tracked AAA pitches. Prospects →

FanGraphs: FV 45 · ETA 2027. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks; where he has it, the development panel above shows it.

Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.