STL · P

Hunter Dobbins

Age 27 B/T R/R 6′2″, 185 lb USA MLB debut 2025

40-man

St. Louis’ roster as it stands bullpen · 74 IP · 0.7 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: Right forearm tightness (Aug 22–Sep 29)

Keystone Stuff 92 16th pct

2026 fWAR 0.4

Projected 2027 WAR 1.0 at 103 IP · 0.7 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 932 pitches

Keystone Stuff 92

Keystone Location 99

Keystone Pitching 96

Run value (xRV) +0.17

Strikeout % 22.5%

Walk % 10.4%

Whiff % 23.1%

Chase % 26.6%

Fastball velo 94.6

Extension 6.3 ft

54.0 IP3.67 ERA4.30 FIP 45° arm1 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 45° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam32% use	32%	94.6	13.0	−0.2	93	100	17%	−0.53
Slider17% use	17%	87.6	2.5	−5.7	104	111	22%	−0.15
Sweeper15% use	15%	82.0	0.3	−15.6	105	104	26%	+1.28
Sinker13% use	13%	94.4	9.4	+11.6	88	84	19%	+0.80
Splitter12% use	12%	88.0	5.0	+13.4	83	91	30%	+0.63
Curveball11% use	11%	79.3	−10.8	−6.6	90	96	39%	+0.03

Weak pitch to watch

Four-seam grades 93 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 105. The best case is against righties: the sweeper is worth +0.1 runs per 100 pitches more, 0.1 standard errors (101 and 97 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Dobbins: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
64	Zac Gallen AZ · ’95	90	−0.1	0.6	Free agent
60	Andrew Painter PHI · ’03	102	1.1	1.3	Pre-arb
60	Andre Pallante STL · ’98	97	2.7	1.9	Arb
60	Zebby Matthews MIN · ’00	92	0.7	1.1	—
59	Keider Montero DET · ’00	92	2.5	1.7	Pre-arb

Zac Gallen (similarity 64, 0.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 38%

48% zone

Splitter 19%

30% zone

Slider 18%

49% zone

Curveball 15%

39% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.0 WAR —

2028 1.0 WAR —

2029 1.0 WAR —

2030 0.9 WAR —

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	26	13	62.2 IP	62.2 IP · 4.16 ERA · 17.1% K · 8.0% BB
2025AA	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	25	1	5 IP	5 IP · 1.80 ERA · 47.1% K · 0.0% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	25	3	12.2 IP	12.2 IP · 6.39 ERA · 13.2% K · 11.3% BB