PIT · AAA · OF

Mike Jarvis

Age 28 B/T R/R 5′10″, 180 lb USA

Pittsburgh org

This winter

What the Winter Plan does with Jarvis: its decisions feed, the dated moves and the briefs

Rule 5 eligible; the plan leaves him unprotected on Nov 17.

Rule 5 pick risk 0.17 (the plan’s ordering, not a probability); expected loss if exposed 0.00 WAR.

Rule 5 protectiondue Nov 17 · medium confidence
Protect Termarr Johnson (2B, AAA, FV 45), Derek Diamond (SIRP, AAA, FV 40) and Keiner Delgado (SS, AA, FV 40) by Nov 17. Expose the rest; the most likely to be taken is Cy Nielson (AAA, risk 0.23; expected loss 0.03 long-term WAR, below the 0.06 that cutting Noah Murdock for a fourth spot would cost; the plan's rule protects at most three).

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · Triple-A

Chase rate 40% Sep ’26 · 20 PA Aug ’25 – Sep ’26

Zone contact 82% Sep ’26 · 20 PA Aug ’25 – Sep ’26

Exit velocity (avg) 88.7 mph Sep ’26 · 20 PA Aug ’25 – Sep ’26

xwOBA .196 Sep ’26 · 20 PA Aug ’25 – Sep ’26

Strikeout rate 35% Sep ’26 · 20 PA Aug ’25 – Sep ’26

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026A	A	Bradenton Marauders	28	4	17 PA	17 PA · .167/.412/.167 · 0 HR · 23.5% K · 23.5% BB
2026AA	AA	Altoona Curve	28	1	4 PA	4 PA · .000/.000/.000 · 0 HR · 25.0% K · 0.0% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	28	43	113 PA	113 PA · .184/.273/.255 · 1 HR · 32.7% K · 10.6% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	28	1	1 IP	1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 0.0% K · 0.0% BB
2025AA	AA	Altoona Curve	27	65	204 PA	204 PA · .202/.259/.273 · 2 HR · 24.5% K · 5.9% BB
2025AA	AA	Altoona Curve	27	2	1.1 IP	1.1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 0.0% K · 16.7% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	27	25	79 PA	79 PA · .181/.241/.278 · 1 HR · 30.4% K · 6.3% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	27	1	1.1 IP	1.1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 0.0% K · 0.0% BB

Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 79 over his 2026 season (134 PA, mostly AAA), 2.1 years older than his level; trend −6.1 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: Org depth. Prospects →