Players / Player profile
COL · RF

Troy Johnston

Age 29 B/T L/L 5′11″, 206 lb USA MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • Colorado’s roster as it stands starts at DH · 433 PA · −0.1 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Likely available: COL projects to miss the playoffs (9% odds) and he’s a veteran (age 30 in 2027): a natural trade candidate.
xwOBA .326 wOBA .330
2026 fWAR 0.2
Projected 2027 WAR 0.1 at 437 PA · −0.1 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 447 PA

xwOBA .326 xwOBA: .326, 57th percentile
Swing decisions −0.60 Swing decisions: −0.60, 23rd percentile
Contact value +0.11 Contact value: +0.11, 52nd percentile
Bat speed 70.2 Bat speed: 70.2, 25th percentile
Squared-up / swing 25% Squared-up / swing: 25%, 76th percentile
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%, 26th percentile
EV90 102.2 EV90: 102.2, 24th percentile
Barrel % 2.2% Barrel %: 2.2%, 5th percentile
Chase % 36.0% Chase %: 36.0%, 18th percentile
Zone contact 85.7% Zone contact: 85.7%, 58th percentile
Strikeout % 18.6% Strikeout %: 18.6%, 67th percentile
Walk % 8.3% Walk %: 8.3%, 43rd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP112.258.28518%4%39%−0.39−0.45
RHP335.353.34019%10%35%−0.67+0.29
Attack angle
10.6° (44% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−1.8°
Swing length
6.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
5%
Pull-air %
17.3%
Hard-hit %
37.1%
Slash · wRC+
.277/.348/.393 · 95

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.6−0.7+2.7−0.3−0.2−1.2−1.4−2.3+4.8+0.7−0.4−0.5−0.8+2.7+2.3−0.5−1.8+0.6−1.4−0.9−0.1−2.3−1.2+2.1+1.1LHB

Does the most damage up and in (+4.8 vs. league per 100; 2.1 standard errors on 55 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−2.3), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 84 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,502 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Johnston: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
62Dominic Smith ATL · ’95.301−0.5−0.2Free agent
62Brooks Lee MIN · ’01.2812.81.5Pre-arb
62Matt Shaw CHC · ’01.3060.71.2Pre-arb
59Ryan O'Hearn PIT · ’93.3130.61.0Signed $15.0M
58Brayan Rocchio CLE · ’01.2973.62.0Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −2.6 −10.1
LF −4.7 −12.2
1B −3.3 −15.8
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B+1+1−1.4−0.4639
2026LF00+0.1+0.1799
2026RF−3−3+0.1−2.91,759
2025RF00−0.2−0.2296
2025LF−1−1−0.2−1.2299
20251B00−1.4−1.4458

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2026 · RF In (charging) −2Back −3Toward 3B line +3Toward 1B line −2vs. RHH 0vs. LHH −3

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came back (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 81.8 mph · 3rd
Sprint speed 26.2 ft/s · 22nd
Reaction +4.4 ft · 99th
Burst −1.5 ft · 11th
Route −4.0 ft · 1st
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0210%
★★★★2367%
★★★55100%
★★81362%
★7888%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF191−13.2
2026LF81−2.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.1 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 −0.2 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 −0.6 WAR Arbitration $1.3M*
2030 −1.1 WAR Arbitration $1.3M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp2884354 PA 354 PA · .252/.333/.439 · 12 HR · 19.2% K · 7.9% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 0% 0/6 won · −0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.