Players / Player profile
DET · 1B

Spencer Torkelson

Age 27 B/T R/R 6′1″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Detroit’s roster as it stands starts at 1B · 560 PA · 1.3 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: DET 52% playoff odds; control through 2028.
xwOBA .316 wOBA .337
2026 fWAR 1.2
Projected 2027 WAR 1.3 at 571 PA · 1.3 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 612 PA

xwOBA .316 xwOBA: .316, 41st percentile
Swing decisions +1.44 Swing decisions: +1.44, 97th percentile
Contact value −0.74 Contact value: −0.74, 23rd percentile
Bat speed 73.2 Bat speed: 73.2, 65th percentile
Squared-up / swing 19% Squared-up / swing: 19%, 21st percentile
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%, 41st percentile
EV90 103.4 EV90: 103.4, 37th percentile
Barrel % 12.2% Barrel %: 12.2%, 82nd percentile
Chase % 21.5% Chase %: 21.5%, 94th percentile
Zone contact 79.9% Zone contact: 79.9%, 18th percentile
Strikeout % 31.7% Strikeout %: 31.7%, 5th percentile
Walk % 11.6% Walk %: 11.6%, 85th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP179.323.29830%13%21%+1.29−1.57
RHP433.343.32332%11%22%+1.51−0.39
Attack angle
14.8° (51% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−8.1°
Swing length
7.7 ft
Fast-swing rate
24%
Pull-air %
29.5%
Hard-hit %
42.1%
Slash · wRC+
.230/.331/.435 · 115

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+1.3+1.0+0.2+1.1−0.1+1.6−0.4+3.0−0.8−0.7+2.8−2.5+1.6−1.1+0.2−0.5+2.2+1.0−0.4−0.9+0.6−0.6−2.1−0.3+0.4RHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+3.0 vs. league per 100; 1.5 standard errors on 126 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−2.5), but only 1.2 standard errors from average on 107 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,341 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Torkelson: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
54Tyler O'Neill BAL · ’95.3070.50.5Signed $16.5M
54JJ Bleday CIN · ’97.3431.31.0Arb
52Rhys Hoskins CLE · ’93.297−0.4−0.2Free agent
51Michael Conforto CHC · ’93.3330.8−0.1Free agent
50Kazuma Okamoto TOR · ’96.3283.01.7Signed $17.3M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
1B −2.1 −14.6
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B−12−9+2.9−6.15,514
20251B−2−1−0.3−1.35,336
20241B+1+1+1.4+2.43,284
20231B−7−5−2.8−7.85,760

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) +3−1Back 00Toward 3B line −6−10Toward 1B line +1−2vs. RHH +1−3vs. LHH −2−9

At 1B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−10 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)
Arm at 1B 68.4 mph · 8th
Sprint speed 26.5 ft/s · 27th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20261B378−8.3
20251B335+4.0
20241B209+5.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.3 WAR Arbitration $4.4M*
2028 1.1 WAR Arbitration $5.8M*
2029 0.9 WAR Free agent
2030 0.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 42% 11/26 won · −1.0 runs
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